A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece

The present study is, in particular, an attempt to test the relationship between budget deficit and current account balance in Greece, from 1976 to 2009, using a structural autoregressive (SVAR) model. We focused on Greece because this country has presented in the last years seriously fiscal changes...

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Main Authors: Aviral Kumar TIWARI, Suresh K G, Mihai MUTAȘCU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: General Association of Economists from Romania 2015-09-01
Series:Theoretical and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1106.pdf
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author Aviral Kumar TIWARI
Suresh K G
Mihai MUTAȘCU
author_facet Aviral Kumar TIWARI
Suresh K G
Mihai MUTAȘCU
author_sort Aviral Kumar TIWARI
collection DOAJ
description The present study is, in particular, an attempt to test the relationship between budget deficit and current account balance in Greece, from 1976 to 2009, using a structural autoregressive (SVAR) model. We focused on Greece because this country has presented in the last years seriously fiscal changes, and severely damage in the level of macroeconomic variables. We find that in case of Greece there is no long run relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit either in the presence or in absence of structural breaks in the data set. Further, Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) calculated in the framework of SVAR shows that increase in budget deficit increases the current account deficit, which is consistent with the twin deficit hypothesis.
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spelling doaj.art-d38329395af44df7858a0c6ff831562b2022-12-21T23:25:24ZengGeneral Association of Economists from RomaniaTheoretical and Applied Economics1841-86781844-00292015-09-01XXII352018418678A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in GreeceAviral Kumar TIWARI0Suresh K G1Mihai MUTAȘCU2 IBS-Hyderabad, IFHE University, Hyderabad, India IBS-Hyderabad, IFHE University, Hyderabad, India University of Orléans, France The present study is, in particular, an attempt to test the relationship between budget deficit and current account balance in Greece, from 1976 to 2009, using a structural autoregressive (SVAR) model. We focused on Greece because this country has presented in the last years seriously fiscal changes, and severely damage in the level of macroeconomic variables. We find that in case of Greece there is no long run relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit either in the presence or in absence of structural breaks in the data set. Further, Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) calculated in the framework of SVAR shows that increase in budget deficit increases the current account deficit, which is consistent with the twin deficit hypothesis. http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1106.pdf Budget DeficitCurrent Account DeficitSVAR AnalysisStructural Breaks
spellingShingle Aviral Kumar TIWARI
Suresh K G
Mihai MUTAȘCU
A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece
Theoretical and Applied Economics
Budget Deficit
Current Account Deficit
SVAR Analysis
Structural Breaks
title A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece
title_full A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece
title_fullStr A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece
title_full_unstemmed A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece
title_short A Structural VAR analysis of Fiscal shocks on current accounts in Greece
title_sort structural var analysis of fiscal shocks on current accounts in greece
topic Budget Deficit
Current Account Deficit
SVAR Analysis
Structural Breaks
url http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1106.pdf
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