Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses

Regional-scale analyses of susceptibility to liquefaction are seldom performed in data-scarce areas. However, in spite of data limitations, such efforts can still provide useful information in case of populated, seismically active regions. The present work focuses on susceptibility zonation for soil...

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Main Authors: Veronica Zumpano, Luca Pisano, Francesco Filice, Angelo Ugenti, Daniela de Lucia, Janusz Wasowski, Francesca Santaloia, Piernicola Lollino
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-05-01
Series:Geosciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/12/5/215
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author Veronica Zumpano
Luca Pisano
Francesco Filice
Angelo Ugenti
Daniela de Lucia
Janusz Wasowski
Francesca Santaloia
Piernicola Lollino
author_facet Veronica Zumpano
Luca Pisano
Francesco Filice
Angelo Ugenti
Daniela de Lucia
Janusz Wasowski
Francesca Santaloia
Piernicola Lollino
author_sort Veronica Zumpano
collection DOAJ
description Regional-scale analyses of susceptibility to liquefaction are seldom performed in data-scarce areas. However, in spite of data limitations, such efforts can still provide useful information in case of populated, seismically active regions. The present work focuses on susceptibility zonation for soil liquefaction that might occur due to ground shaking in the Foggia Province, a data-scarce, seismically active area of about 7000 km<sup>2</sup> located in southern Italy. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach is used to obtain the susceptibility to liquefaction map of the whole area, while a geological and geotechnical database including 531 boreholes from 84 localities is used for cross-validation. The data are processed by means of a simplified quantitative method to determine liquefaction potential and assess whether a specific area is prone to liquefaction or not. Our results, along with an AUC − ROC = 0.89 test value, indicate that there are widespread areas of medium to high and very high susceptibility, and that the most susceptible zones are localized along the Adriatic Sea coastline and watercourses. The final susceptibility to liquefaction map represents a step forward towards the assessment of secondary seismic hazard in the study area, thus supporting the regional and local administrations responsible for land-use planning and risk mitigation.
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spelling doaj.art-d39fc756de6f4964a67179394cffac282023-11-23T11:12:24ZengMDPI AGGeosciences2076-32632022-05-0112521510.3390/geosciences12050215Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific AnalysesVeronica Zumpano0Luca Pisano1Francesco Filice2Angelo Ugenti3Daniela de Lucia4Janusz Wasowski5Francesca Santaloia6Piernicola Lollino7National Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyNational Research Council, Research Institute for the Geo-Hydrological Protection, 70126 Bari, ItalyRegional-scale analyses of susceptibility to liquefaction are seldom performed in data-scarce areas. However, in spite of data limitations, such efforts can still provide useful information in case of populated, seismically active regions. The present work focuses on susceptibility zonation for soil liquefaction that might occur due to ground shaking in the Foggia Province, a data-scarce, seismically active area of about 7000 km<sup>2</sup> located in southern Italy. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach is used to obtain the susceptibility to liquefaction map of the whole area, while a geological and geotechnical database including 531 boreholes from 84 localities is used for cross-validation. The data are processed by means of a simplified quantitative method to determine liquefaction potential and assess whether a specific area is prone to liquefaction or not. Our results, along with an AUC − ROC = 0.89 test value, indicate that there are widespread areas of medium to high and very high susceptibility, and that the most susceptible zones are localized along the Adriatic Sea coastline and watercourses. The final susceptibility to liquefaction map represents a step forward towards the assessment of secondary seismic hazard in the study area, thus supporting the regional and local administrations responsible for land-use planning and risk mitigation.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/12/5/215liquefaction potentialseismic secondary effectssusceptibility analysisItaly
spellingShingle Veronica Zumpano
Luca Pisano
Francesco Filice
Angelo Ugenti
Daniela de Lucia
Janusz Wasowski
Francesca Santaloia
Piernicola Lollino
Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses
Geosciences
liquefaction potential
seismic secondary effects
susceptibility analysis
Italy
title Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses
title_full Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses
title_fullStr Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses
title_full_unstemmed Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses
title_short Regional-Scale Seismic Liquefaction Susceptibility Mapping via an Empirical Approach Validated by Site-Specific Analyses
title_sort regional scale seismic liquefaction susceptibility mapping via an empirical approach validated by site specific analyses
topic liquefaction potential
seismic secondary effects
susceptibility analysis
Italy
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/12/5/215
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