Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil

The most critical factors in the acceleration of climate and environmental changes are related to industrial development and consequently to an increase in the demand for electricity. Looking for measures that minimize impacts on the environment, alternative energy sources are gaining more and more...

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Main Authors: Elison Eduardo Bierhals, Francisco Pereira, Claudinéia Brazil, Elton Rossini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Alanya Üniversitesi 2017-12-01
Series:Journal of Contemporary Urban Affairs
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijcua.com/index.php/ijcua/article/view/19
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author Elison Eduardo Bierhals
Francisco Pereira
Claudinéia Brazil
Elton Rossini
author_facet Elison Eduardo Bierhals
Francisco Pereira
Claudinéia Brazil
Elton Rossini
author_sort Elison Eduardo Bierhals
collection DOAJ
description The most critical factors in the acceleration of climate and environmental changes are related to industrial development and consequently to an increase in the demand for electricity. Looking for measures that minimize impacts on the environment, alternative energy sources are gaining more and more space in the Brazilian energy matrix. Brazil presents a great solar potential for the generation of electric energy, so the knowledge of solar radiation and its characteristics are fundamental for the study of energy use. Due to the above, this article aims to verify the climatic variability corresponding to the variations in solar radiation patterns, in the face of climate change scenarios. The database used in this research is part of the Phase 5 Intercomparison of Matching Models (CMIP5).  It is important, first of all, to determine its availability in order to enable the use of solar radiation as a source of energy in a given location and/or region. The climatic projections, based on the pessimistic scenario, in a 75-year period (2026-2100) showed a fall in solar radiation in all of Rio Grande do Sul, reaching 12% in the eastern region of the state. A concern with the factors that influence the pessimistic perspectives of this scenario, as it may affect a possible production of electric energy from solar radiation.
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spelling doaj.art-d3f35a79a25e473eb9eb0e1dd12bb37f2023-12-02T20:33:18ZengAlanya ÜniversitesiJournal of Contemporary Urban Affairs2475-61642475-61562017-12-011310.25034/ijcua.2018.36xx71Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of BrazilElison Eduardo Bierhals0Francisco Pereira1Claudinéia Brazil2Elton Rossini3Energy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, BrazilEnergy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, BrazilEnergy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, BrazilEnergy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, BrazilThe most critical factors in the acceleration of climate and environmental changes are related to industrial development and consequently to an increase in the demand for electricity. Looking for measures that minimize impacts on the environment, alternative energy sources are gaining more and more space in the Brazilian energy matrix. Brazil presents a great solar potential for the generation of electric energy, so the knowledge of solar radiation and its characteristics are fundamental for the study of energy use. Due to the above, this article aims to verify the climatic variability corresponding to the variations in solar radiation patterns, in the face of climate change scenarios. The database used in this research is part of the Phase 5 Intercomparison of Matching Models (CMIP5).  It is important, first of all, to determine its availability in order to enable the use of solar radiation as a source of energy in a given location and/or region. The climatic projections, based on the pessimistic scenario, in a 75-year period (2026-2100) showed a fall in solar radiation in all of Rio Grande do Sul, reaching 12% in the eastern region of the state. A concern with the factors that influence the pessimistic perspectives of this scenario, as it may affect a possible production of electric energy from solar radiation.https://ijcua.com/index.php/ijcua/article/view/19Climate ChangeSolar RadiationEnergy Utilization
spellingShingle Elison Eduardo Bierhals
Francisco Pereira
Claudinéia Brazil
Elton Rossini
Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil
Journal of Contemporary Urban Affairs
Climate Change
Solar Radiation
Energy Utilization
title Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil
title_full Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil
title_fullStr Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil
title_short Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil
title_sort solar radiation projections of cmip5 models for south of brazil
topic Climate Change
Solar Radiation
Energy Utilization
url https://ijcua.com/index.php/ijcua/article/view/19
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AT franciscopereira solarradiationprojectionsofcmip5modelsforsouthofbrazil
AT claudineiabrazil solarradiationprojectionsofcmip5modelsforsouthofbrazil
AT eltonrossini solarradiationprojectionsofcmip5modelsforsouthofbrazil