Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation

The growth of plants and insects occurs only above a minimum temperature threshold. In insects, the growth rate depends on the temperature above the threshold up to a maximum. In plants the growth rate above the threshold generally depends on the availability of sunlight. Thus, the relative growth r...

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Main Authors: R. A. J. Taylor, Daniel A. Herms, John Cardina, Richard H. Moore
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-01-01
Series:Agronomy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/8/1/7
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author R. A. J. Taylor
Daniel A. Herms
John Cardina
Richard H. Moore
author_facet R. A. J. Taylor
Daniel A. Herms
John Cardina
Richard H. Moore
author_sort R. A. J. Taylor
collection DOAJ
description The growth of plants and insects occurs only above a minimum temperature threshold. In insects, the growth rate depends on the temperature above the threshold up to a maximum. In plants the growth rate above the threshold generally depends on the availability of sunlight. Thus, the relative growth rates of crops and insect phytophages are expected to differ between temperature regimes. We should therefore expect insect pest pressure at a location to change with climate warming. In this study, we used actual and simulated climate data developed for the IPCC 4th Assessment Report to drive linked plant and insect growth models to examine likely changes in insect-crop interaction. Projections of insect-crop dynamics through the 21st century suggest increases in pest pressure over much of the American Midwest, which could result in substantial increases in pesticide use to maintain productivity. Thus, climate warming could cause an increase in agriculture’s carbon footprint.
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spelling doaj.art-d4311d8a15cc4816bd8fa7f7799b261a2022-12-21T22:53:00ZengMDPI AGAgronomy2073-43952018-01-0181710.3390/agronomy8010007agronomy8010007Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic DislocationR. A. J. Taylor0Daniel A. Herms1John Cardina2Richard H. Moore3Texas A&M AgriLife Research, Blackland Research Center, Temple, TX 76502, USADepartment of Entomology, Ohio Agricultural Research and Development Center (OARDC), Wooster, OH 44691, USADepartment of Horticultural and Crop Science, OARDC, Wooster, OH 44691, USASchool of Environment and Natural Resources, OARDC, Wooster, OH 44691, USAThe growth of plants and insects occurs only above a minimum temperature threshold. In insects, the growth rate depends on the temperature above the threshold up to a maximum. In plants the growth rate above the threshold generally depends on the availability of sunlight. Thus, the relative growth rates of crops and insect phytophages are expected to differ between temperature regimes. We should therefore expect insect pest pressure at a location to change with climate warming. In this study, we used actual and simulated climate data developed for the IPCC 4th Assessment Report to drive linked plant and insect growth models to examine likely changes in insect-crop interaction. Projections of insect-crop dynamics through the 21st century suggest increases in pest pressure over much of the American Midwest, which could result in substantial increases in pesticide use to maintain productivity. Thus, climate warming could cause an increase in agriculture’s carbon footprint.http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/8/1/7agricultural productivitycorn-soybeans rotationcrop protectionglobal warminginsect-plant interactionspopulation dynamics
spellingShingle R. A. J. Taylor
Daniel A. Herms
John Cardina
Richard H. Moore
Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation
Agronomy
agricultural productivity
corn-soybeans rotation
crop protection
global warming
insect-plant interactions
population dynamics
title Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation
title_full Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation
title_fullStr Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation
title_short Climate Change and Pest Management: Unanticipated Consequences of Trophic Dislocation
title_sort climate change and pest management unanticipated consequences of trophic dislocation
topic agricultural productivity
corn-soybeans rotation
crop protection
global warming
insect-plant interactions
population dynamics
url http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/8/1/7
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