Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy

The study further investigates the link between the constructed financial stress index (FSI) and overall economic activity. We approximate the co-movement of the identified financial and economic factors into a single index using the principal component analysis. The combine variables explain about...

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Main Authors: Hussin Abdullah, Jauhari Dahalan, Khaw Lee Hwei, Mohammed Umar, Md Mohan Uddin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2017-06-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32035/354470?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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author Hussin Abdullah
Jauhari Dahalan
Khaw Lee Hwei
Mohammed Umar
Md Mohan Uddin
author_facet Hussin Abdullah
Jauhari Dahalan
Khaw Lee Hwei
Mohammed Umar
Md Mohan Uddin
author_sort Hussin Abdullah
collection DOAJ
description The study further investigates the link between the constructed financial stress index (FSI) and overall economic activity. We approximate the co-movement of the identified financial and economic factors into a single index using the principal component analysis. The combine variables explain about 60% of the total variation in the Malaysian FSI and practically captured the known key aspects of financial stress in Malaysia. The study further applies asymmetric causality and structural vector autoregressive to distinguish between causality in good and bad times and examine the structural impulse responses in changes in the economic activity arising from the shocks in financial stress. The study reveals that changes in the Malaysian FSI (MFSI) negatively affects the economic activity of Malaysia whereas, changes in the economic activity is positively related to the MFSI. Furthermore, the asymmetric causality indicates that high financial stress affect the economic activity during economic recession but economic activity irrespective of whether in boom or recession does not influence the MFSI. However, using the growth rate of foreign trade to proxy economic activity indicates that MFSI influences economic activity irrespective of good or bad times. Nevertheless, economic activity measured using GFD also affect MFSI during the period of economic recession. This also shows that the indicators employed in the construction of the index are the near approximation of the FSI for Malaysia due to its ability to reflect the available information included in the index. The study concludes with policy implications based on the behavior of the MFSI.
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spelling doaj.art-d4358de67bd34291a6890a970e3f95272023-02-15T16:20:45ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382017-06-01722272351032Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the EconomyHussin AbdullahJauhari DahalanKhaw Lee HweiMohammed UmarMd Mohan UddinThe study further investigates the link between the constructed financial stress index (FSI) and overall economic activity. We approximate the co-movement of the identified financial and economic factors into a single index using the principal component analysis. The combine variables explain about 60% of the total variation in the Malaysian FSI and practically captured the known key aspects of financial stress in Malaysia. The study further applies asymmetric causality and structural vector autoregressive to distinguish between causality in good and bad times and examine the structural impulse responses in changes in the economic activity arising from the shocks in financial stress. The study reveals that changes in the Malaysian FSI (MFSI) negatively affects the economic activity of Malaysia whereas, changes in the economic activity is positively related to the MFSI. Furthermore, the asymmetric causality indicates that high financial stress affect the economic activity during economic recession but economic activity irrespective of whether in boom or recession does not influence the MFSI. However, using the growth rate of foreign trade to proxy economic activity indicates that MFSI influences economic activity irrespective of good or bad times. Nevertheless, economic activity measured using GFD also affect MFSI during the period of economic recession. This also shows that the indicators employed in the construction of the index are the near approximation of the FSI for Malaysia due to its ability to reflect the available information included in the index. The study concludes with policy implications based on the behavior of the MFSI.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32035/354470?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturkeconomic indicators financial crisis malaysian financial stress index
spellingShingle Hussin Abdullah
Jauhari Dahalan
Khaw Lee Hwei
Mohammed Umar
Md Mohan Uddin
Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
economic indicators
financial crisis
malaysian financial stress index
title Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy
title_full Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy
title_fullStr Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy
title_full_unstemmed Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy
title_short Malaysian Financial Stress Index and Assessing its Impacts on the Economy
title_sort malaysian financial stress index and assessing its impacts on the economy
topic economic indicators
financial crisis
malaysian financial stress index
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/32035/354470?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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AT khawleehwei malaysianfinancialstressindexandassessingitsimpactsontheeconomy
AT mohammedumar malaysianfinancialstressindexandassessingitsimpactsontheeconomy
AT mdmohanuddin malaysianfinancialstressindexandassessingitsimpactsontheeconomy