The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries

Abstract This paper reconsiders the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. We analyze an OECD country panel from 1970 to 2008 and compare three data sets on sectoral productivity, including newly constructed data on total factor productivity. Overall, our within- and between-dimension estimation results...

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Main Authors: Matthias Gubler, Christoph Sax
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2019-02-01
Series:Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-019-0029-3
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author Matthias Gubler
Christoph Sax
author_facet Matthias Gubler
Christoph Sax
author_sort Matthias Gubler
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This paper reconsiders the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. We analyze an OECD country panel from 1970 to 2008 and compare three data sets on sectoral productivity, including newly constructed data on total factor productivity. Overall, our within- and between-dimension estimation results do not support the BS hypothesis. For the time since the mid-1980s, we find a robust negative relationship between productivity in the tradable sector and the real exchange rate, even after including the terms of trade to control for the effects of the home bias. Earlier, supportive findings may depend on the choice of the data set and the model specification.
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spelling doaj.art-d44c9c5cc4f841c6979419529a2f5d4f2022-12-22T02:00:29ZengSpringerOpenSwiss Journal of Economics and Statistics2235-62822019-02-01155112110.1186/s41937-019-0029-3The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countriesMatthias Gubler0Christoph Sax1Swiss National BankUniversity of BaselAbstract This paper reconsiders the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. We analyze an OECD country panel from 1970 to 2008 and compare three data sets on sectoral productivity, including newly constructed data on total factor productivity. Overall, our within- and between-dimension estimation results do not support the BS hypothesis. For the time since the mid-1980s, we find a robust negative relationship between productivity in the tradable sector and the real exchange rate, even after including the terms of trade to control for the effects of the home bias. Earlier, supportive findings may depend on the choice of the data set and the model specification.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-019-0029-3Real exchange rateBalassa-Samuelson hypothesisPanel data estimationTerms of trade
spellingShingle Matthias Gubler
Christoph Sax
The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
Real exchange rate
Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis
Panel data estimation
Terms of trade
title The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
title_full The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
title_fullStr The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
title_full_unstemmed The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
title_short The Balassa-Samuelson effect reversed: new evidence from OECD countries
title_sort balassa samuelson effect reversed new evidence from oecd countries
topic Real exchange rate
Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis
Panel data estimation
Terms of trade
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-019-0029-3
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