THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control
The human error of air traffic controller is the main cause of the aircraft collision in the air,and it is a difficult problem to effectively predict the failure probability of human factor of air traffic control(AT C).For this,on the basis of technique of human error rate prediction(THERP)and cogni...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | zho |
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Editorial Department of Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering
2022-12-01
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| Series: | Hangkong gongcheng jinzhan |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://hkgcjz.cnjournals.com/hkgcjz/article/abstract/2021208?st=article_issue |
| _version_ | 1811166366703550464 |
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| author | ZHANG Jianxiang GAN Xusheng WU Yarong YANG Rui |
| author_facet | ZHANG Jianxiang GAN Xusheng WU Yarong YANG Rui |
| author_sort | ZHANG Jianxiang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The human error of air traffic controller is the main cause of the aircraft collision in the air,and it is a difficult problem to effectively predict the failure probability of human factor of air traffic control(AT C).For this,on the basis of technique of human error rate prediction(THERP)and cognitive reliability and error analysis method(CREAM),a hybrid prediction method is proposed for failure probability of ATC human factor.Based on the binary tree model of THERP method,the basic chain of accident development is constructed,and then the triggering probability of human unsafety action is modified based on CREAM method,so as to draw a more accurate probability prediction conclusion.Through the comparative analysis of similar accidents,the key accident impact factors can be identified,and formulate targeted control measures.This paper provides an effective analysis method for studying the failure probability prediction of ATC human factor. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T15:52:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-d45c77d7a9e54c90b0313d890c060113 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1674-8190 |
| language | zho |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T15:52:12Z |
| publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
| publisher | Editorial Department of Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Hangkong gongcheng jinzhan |
| spelling | doaj.art-d45c77d7a9e54c90b0313d890c0601132023-02-11T05:28:14ZzhoEditorial Department of Advances in Aeronautical Science and EngineeringHangkong gongcheng jinzhan1674-81902022-12-01136596810.16615/j.cnki.1674-8190.2022.06.0620220606THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic ControlZHANG Jianxiang0GAN Xusheng1WU Yarong2YANG Rui3School of Electronic Information, Xijing University, Xi'an 710123, ChinaCollege of Air T raffic Control and Navigation, Air Force Engineering University, Xi'an 710051, ChinaCollege of Air T raffic Control and Navigation, Air Force Engineering University, Xi'an 710051, ChinaCollege of Air T raffic Control and Navigation, Air Force Engineering University, Xi'an 710051, ChinaThe human error of air traffic controller is the main cause of the aircraft collision in the air,and it is a difficult problem to effectively predict the failure probability of human factor of air traffic control(AT C).For this,on the basis of technique of human error rate prediction(THERP)and cognitive reliability and error analysis method(CREAM),a hybrid prediction method is proposed for failure probability of ATC human factor.Based on the binary tree model of THERP method,the basic chain of accident development is constructed,and then the triggering probability of human unsafety action is modified based on CREAM method,so as to draw a more accurate probability prediction conclusion.Through the comparative analysis of similar accidents,the key accident impact factors can be identified,and formulate targeted control measures.This paper provides an effective analysis method for studying the failure probability prediction of ATC human factor.http://hkgcjz.cnjournals.com/hkgcjz/article/abstract/2021208?st=article_issuetherpair traffic controlhuman factorfailure probability |
| spellingShingle | ZHANG Jianxiang GAN Xusheng WU Yarong YANG Rui THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control Hangkong gongcheng jinzhan therp air traffic control human factor failure probability |
| title | THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control |
| title_full | THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control |
| title_fullStr | THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control |
| title_full_unstemmed | THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control |
| title_short | THERP-CREAM Prediction Method for Failure Probability of Human Factor of Air Traffic Control |
| title_sort | therp cream prediction method for failure probability of human factor of air traffic control |
| topic | therp air traffic control human factor failure probability |
| url | http://hkgcjz.cnjournals.com/hkgcjz/article/abstract/2021208?st=article_issue |
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