Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks

Technical, economic, regulatory, environmental, and social and political interests make the process of selecting an appropriate wastewater treatment technology complex. Although this problem has already been addressed from the dimensioning approach, our proposal in this research, a model of decision...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Edgardo Medina, Carlos Roberto Fonseca, Iván Gallego-Alarcón, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles, Miguel Ángel Gómez-Albores, Mario Esparza-Soto, Carlos Alberto Mastachi-Loza, Daury García-Pulido
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/8/1231
_version_ 1797409010531434496
author Edgardo Medina
Carlos Roberto Fonseca
Iván Gallego-Alarcón
Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles
Miguel Ángel Gómez-Albores
Mario Esparza-Soto
Carlos Alberto Mastachi-Loza
Daury García-Pulido
author_facet Edgardo Medina
Carlos Roberto Fonseca
Iván Gallego-Alarcón
Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles
Miguel Ángel Gómez-Albores
Mario Esparza-Soto
Carlos Alberto Mastachi-Loza
Daury García-Pulido
author_sort Edgardo Medina
collection DOAJ
description Technical, economic, regulatory, environmental, and social and political interests make the process of selecting an appropriate wastewater treatment technology complex. Although this problem has already been addressed from the dimensioning approach, our proposal in this research, a model of decision making for conventional secondary treatment of municipal wastewater through continuous-discrete, non-parametric Bayesian networks was developed. The most suitable network was structured in unit processes, independent of each other. Validation, with data in a mostly Mexican context, provided a positive predictive power of 83.5%, an excellent kappa (0.77 > 0.75), and the criterion line was surpassed with the location of the model in a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) graph, so the model can be implemented in this region. The final configuration of the Bayesian network allows the methodology to be easily extended to other types of treatments, wastewater, and to other regions.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T04:07:00Z
format Article
id doaj.art-d49c025254804281806606c09224bb2f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4441
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T04:07:00Z
publishDate 2022-04-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Water
spelling doaj.art-d49c025254804281806606c09224bb2f2023-12-03T14:05:09ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412022-04-01148123110.3390/w14081231Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian NetworksEdgardo Medina0Carlos Roberto Fonseca1Iván Gallego-Alarcón2Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles3Miguel Ángel Gómez-Albores4Mario Esparza-Soto5Carlos Alberto Mastachi-Loza6Daury García-Pulido7Inter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoInter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoInter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoFaculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, P.O. Box 5, 2600 AA Delft, The NetherlandsInter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoInter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoInter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoInter-American Institute of Water Sciences and Technology, Autonomous University of Mexico State, km 14.5 Toluca-Atlacomulco Road, Toluca 50295, MexicoTechnical, economic, regulatory, environmental, and social and political interests make the process of selecting an appropriate wastewater treatment technology complex. Although this problem has already been addressed from the dimensioning approach, our proposal in this research, a model of decision making for conventional secondary treatment of municipal wastewater through continuous-discrete, non-parametric Bayesian networks was developed. The most suitable network was structured in unit processes, independent of each other. Validation, with data in a mostly Mexican context, provided a positive predictive power of 83.5%, an excellent kappa (0.77 > 0.75), and the criterion line was surpassed with the location of the model in a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) graph, so the model can be implemented in this region. The final configuration of the Bayesian network allows the methodology to be easily extended to other types of treatments, wastewater, and to other regions.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/8/1231decision making modelwastewater secondary treatmentBayesian networksstructured expert judgment
spellingShingle Edgardo Medina
Carlos Roberto Fonseca
Iván Gallego-Alarcón
Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles
Miguel Ángel Gómez-Albores
Mario Esparza-Soto
Carlos Alberto Mastachi-Loza
Daury García-Pulido
Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks
Water
decision making model
wastewater secondary treatment
Bayesian networks
structured expert judgment
title Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks
title_full Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks
title_fullStr Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks
title_full_unstemmed Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks
title_short Decision Making Model for Municipal Wastewater Conventional Secondary Treatment with Bayesian Networks
title_sort decision making model for municipal wastewater conventional secondary treatment with bayesian networks
topic decision making model
wastewater secondary treatment
Bayesian networks
structured expert judgment
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/8/1231
work_keys_str_mv AT edgardomedina decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT carlosrobertofonseca decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT ivangallegoalarcon decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT oswaldomoralesnapoles decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT miguelangelgomezalbores decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT marioesparzasoto decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT carlosalbertomastachiloza decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks
AT daurygarciapulido decisionmakingmodelformunicipalwastewaterconventionalsecondarytreatmentwithbayesiannetworks