Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective

Credit risk is a major risk of supply chain finance business, and it has recently gained increasing attention. Due to the high dependence between enterprises, the assessment of the supply chain finance risk will be more complicated. In the current study, the research subjects are almost the single f...

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Main Authors: Min Zhang, Jiantong Zhang, Ruolin Ma, Xiaodong Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2019-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8824063/
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author Min Zhang
Jiantong Zhang
Ruolin Ma
Xiaodong Chen
author_facet Min Zhang
Jiantong Zhang
Ruolin Ma
Xiaodong Chen
author_sort Min Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Credit risk is a major risk of supply chain finance business, and it has recently gained increasing attention. Due to the high dependence between enterprises, the assessment of the supply chain finance risk will be more complicated. In the current study, the research subjects are almost the single financing enterprises, and the credit risk of financing enterprise portfolio in supply chain finance has rarely been discussed. This study aims to establish a complete risk assessment model, which is based on modified KMV model and Copula function, to quantify the credit risk of enterprises in supply chain finance. Based on the model, we can measure the credit risk of the single financing enterprise and financing enterprise portfolio (up- and down-stream) in supply chain. The results indicate that default contagion does exist in supply chain and the intensity of default contagion between enterprises in the financing enterprise portfolio is asymmetrical. Moreover, the conclusions about the joint expected default frequency and conditional expected default frequency of financing enterprise portfolio in supply chain, are of great significance to commercial banks and other financial institutions.
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spelling doaj.art-d4b76e9dc5f547eda393cadce12f4e0f2022-12-21T22:30:20ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362019-01-01714426414427910.1109/ACCESS.2019.29392878824063Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain PerspectiveMin Zhang0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5280-2062Jiantong Zhang1Ruolin Ma2Xiaodong Chen3School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai, ChinaCommercial College, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USASchool of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai, ChinaCredit risk is a major risk of supply chain finance business, and it has recently gained increasing attention. Due to the high dependence between enterprises, the assessment of the supply chain finance risk will be more complicated. In the current study, the research subjects are almost the single financing enterprises, and the credit risk of financing enterprise portfolio in supply chain finance has rarely been discussed. This study aims to establish a complete risk assessment model, which is based on modified KMV model and Copula function, to quantify the credit risk of enterprises in supply chain finance. Based on the model, we can measure the credit risk of the single financing enterprise and financing enterprise portfolio (up- and down-stream) in supply chain. The results indicate that default contagion does exist in supply chain and the intensity of default contagion between enterprises in the financing enterprise portfolio is asymmetrical. Moreover, the conclusions about the joint expected default frequency and conditional expected default frequency of financing enterprise portfolio in supply chain, are of great significance to commercial banks and other financial institutions.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8824063/Supply chain financecredit riskdefault contagionfinancing enterprise portfolioChinese automobile supply chain
spellingShingle Min Zhang
Jiantong Zhang
Ruolin Ma
Xiaodong Chen
Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective
IEEE Access
Supply chain finance
credit risk
default contagion
financing enterprise portfolio
Chinese automobile supply chain
title Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective
title_full Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective
title_fullStr Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective
title_short Quantifying Credit Risk of Supply Chain Finance: A Chinese Automobile Supply Chain Perspective
title_sort quantifying credit risk of supply chain finance a chinese automobile supply chain perspective
topic Supply chain finance
credit risk
default contagion
financing enterprise portfolio
Chinese automobile supply chain
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8824063/
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AT jiantongzhang quantifyingcreditriskofsupplychainfinanceachineseautomobilesupplychainperspective
AT ruolinma quantifyingcreditriskofsupplychainfinanceachineseautomobilesupplychainperspective
AT xiaodongchen quantifyingcreditriskofsupplychainfinanceachineseautomobilesupplychainperspective