Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes

Does campaign duration affect election outcomes? To date, this question has largely evaded political scientists, but it is reasonable to expect systematic links between campaign length and candidate performance in elections. We hypothesize that longer campaigns would help challengers' electoral...

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Main Author: Costas Panagopoulos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cogitatio 2013-05-01
Series:Politics and Governance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/92
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author Costas Panagopoulos
author_facet Costas Panagopoulos
author_sort Costas Panagopoulos
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description Does campaign duration affect election outcomes? To date, this question has largely evaded political scientists, but it is reasonable to expect systematic links between campaign length and candidate performance in elections. We hypothesize that longer campaigns would help challengers' electoral fortunes, thereby curbing incumbency advantage and potentially boosting competitiveness in elections. Using two data sources, aggregate data from U.S. House elections between 1994 and 2006 and ANES survey data from the 2002 election cycle, we find little evidence to support contentions that campaign length affects election outcomes or candidate familiarity. The results we report suggest the political consequences, intended or not, to choices about election timing are likely minimal.
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spelling doaj.art-d500226b90cb4d36a5cafb570d96b9ae2022-12-22T00:50:30ZengCogitatioPolitics and Governance2183-24632013-05-0111667310.17645/pag.v1i1.9227Campaign Duration and Election OutcomesCostas Panagopoulos0Department of Political Science, Fordham University, Bronx, NY 10458, USADoes campaign duration affect election outcomes? To date, this question has largely evaded political scientists, but it is reasonable to expect systematic links between campaign length and candidate performance in elections. We hypothesize that longer campaigns would help challengers' electoral fortunes, thereby curbing incumbency advantage and potentially boosting competitiveness in elections. Using two data sources, aggregate data from U.S. House elections between 1994 and 2006 and ANES survey data from the 2002 election cycle, we find little evidence to support contentions that campaign length affects election outcomes or candidate familiarity. The results we report suggest the political consequences, intended or not, to choices about election timing are likely minimal.https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/92campaign durationcampaign lengthcampaign spendingcampaign timingcandidate familiarityelection outcomesvote choice
spellingShingle Costas Panagopoulos
Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
Politics and Governance
campaign duration
campaign length
campaign spending
campaign timing
candidate familiarity
election outcomes
vote choice
title Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
title_full Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
title_fullStr Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
title_full_unstemmed Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
title_short Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
title_sort campaign duration and election outcomes
topic campaign duration
campaign length
campaign spending
campaign timing
candidate familiarity
election outcomes
vote choice
url https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/92
work_keys_str_mv AT costaspanagopoulos campaigndurationandelectionoutcomes