Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes
Does campaign duration affect election outcomes? To date, this question has largely evaded political scientists, but it is reasonable to expect systematic links between campaign length and candidate performance in elections. We hypothesize that longer campaigns would help challengers' electoral...
Main Author: | |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Cogitatio
2013-05-01
|
Series: | Politics and Governance |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/92 |
_version_ | 1818180424967389184 |
---|---|
author | Costas Panagopoulos |
author_facet | Costas Panagopoulos |
author_sort | Costas Panagopoulos |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Does campaign duration affect election outcomes? To date, this question has largely evaded political scientists, but it is reasonable to expect systematic links between campaign length and candidate performance in elections. We hypothesize that longer campaigns would help challengers' electoral fortunes, thereby curbing incumbency advantage and potentially boosting competitiveness in elections. Using two data sources, aggregate data from U.S. House elections between 1994 and 2006 and ANES survey data from the 2002 election cycle, we find little evidence to support contentions that campaign length affects election outcomes or candidate familiarity. The results we report suggest the political consequences, intended or not, to choices about election timing are likely minimal. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-11T21:19:33Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-d500226b90cb4d36a5cafb570d96b9ae |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2183-2463 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-11T21:19:33Z |
publishDate | 2013-05-01 |
publisher | Cogitatio |
record_format | Article |
series | Politics and Governance |
spelling | doaj.art-d500226b90cb4d36a5cafb570d96b9ae2022-12-22T00:50:30ZengCogitatioPolitics and Governance2183-24632013-05-0111667310.17645/pag.v1i1.9227Campaign Duration and Election OutcomesCostas Panagopoulos0Department of Political Science, Fordham University, Bronx, NY 10458, USADoes campaign duration affect election outcomes? To date, this question has largely evaded political scientists, but it is reasonable to expect systematic links between campaign length and candidate performance in elections. We hypothesize that longer campaigns would help challengers' electoral fortunes, thereby curbing incumbency advantage and potentially boosting competitiveness in elections. Using two data sources, aggregate data from U.S. House elections between 1994 and 2006 and ANES survey data from the 2002 election cycle, we find little evidence to support contentions that campaign length affects election outcomes or candidate familiarity. The results we report suggest the political consequences, intended or not, to choices about election timing are likely minimal.https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/92campaign durationcampaign lengthcampaign spendingcampaign timingcandidate familiarityelection outcomesvote choice |
spellingShingle | Costas Panagopoulos Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes Politics and Governance campaign duration campaign length campaign spending campaign timing candidate familiarity election outcomes vote choice |
title | Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes |
title_full | Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes |
title_fullStr | Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes |
title_full_unstemmed | Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes |
title_short | Campaign Duration and Election Outcomes |
title_sort | campaign duration and election outcomes |
topic | campaign duration campaign length campaign spending campaign timing candidate familiarity election outcomes vote choice |
url | https://www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandgovernance/article/view/92 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT costaspanagopoulos campaigndurationandelectionoutcomes |