Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation

Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) quantifies the solar energy received by the Earth and therefore is of direct relevance for a possible solar influence on climate change on Earth. We analyse the TSI space measurements from 1991 to 2021, and we derive a regression model that reproduces the measured daily...

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Main Authors: Steven Dewitte, Jan Cornelis, Mustapha Meftah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-02-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/5/1072
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author Steven Dewitte
Jan Cornelis
Mustapha Meftah
author_facet Steven Dewitte
Jan Cornelis
Mustapha Meftah
author_sort Steven Dewitte
collection DOAJ
description Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) quantifies the solar energy received by the Earth and therefore is of direct relevance for a possible solar influence on climate change on Earth. We analyse the TSI space measurements from 1991 to 2021, and we derive a regression model that reproduces the measured daily TSI variations with a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.17 W/m<sup>2</sup>. The daily TSI regression model uses the MgII core to wing ratio as a facular brightening proxy and the Photometric Sunspot Index (PSI) as a measure of sunspot darkening. We reconstruct the annual mean TSI backwards to 1700 based on the Sunspot Number (SN), calibrated on the space measurements with an RMSE of 0.086 W/m<sup>2</sup>. The analysis of the 11 year running mean TSI reconstruction confirms the existence of a 105 year Gleissberg cycle. The TSI level of the current grand minimum is only about 0.15 W/m<sup>2</sup> higher than the TSI level of the grand minimum in the beginning of the 18th century.
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spelling doaj.art-d5101ec53ae840b29e485a28267d4c982023-11-23T23:40:59ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922022-02-01145107210.3390/rs14051072Centennial Total Solar Irradiance VariationSteven Dewitte0Jan Cornelis1Mustapha Meftah2Royal Observatory of Belgium, Ringlaan 3, 1180 Brussels, BelgiumETRO Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, BelgiumLATMOS, CNRS, 78280 Guyancourt, FranceTotal Solar Irradiance (TSI) quantifies the solar energy received by the Earth and therefore is of direct relevance for a possible solar influence on climate change on Earth. We analyse the TSI space measurements from 1991 to 2021, and we derive a regression model that reproduces the measured daily TSI variations with a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.17 W/m<sup>2</sup>. The daily TSI regression model uses the MgII core to wing ratio as a facular brightening proxy and the Photometric Sunspot Index (PSI) as a measure of sunspot darkening. We reconstruct the annual mean TSI backwards to 1700 based on the Sunspot Number (SN), calibrated on the space measurements with an RMSE of 0.086 W/m<sup>2</sup>. The analysis of the 11 year running mean TSI reconstruction confirms the existence of a 105 year Gleissberg cycle. The TSI level of the current grand minimum is only about 0.15 W/m<sup>2</sup> higher than the TSI level of the grand minimum in the beginning of the 18th century.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/5/1072total solar irradiancesunspot number
spellingShingle Steven Dewitte
Jan Cornelis
Mustapha Meftah
Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
Remote Sensing
total solar irradiance
sunspot number
title Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
title_full Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
title_fullStr Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
title_full_unstemmed Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
title_short Centennial Total Solar Irradiance Variation
title_sort centennial total solar irradiance variation
topic total solar irradiance
sunspot number
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/5/1072
work_keys_str_mv AT stevendewitte centennialtotalsolarirradiancevariation
AT jancornelis centennialtotalsolarirradiancevariation
AT mustaphameftah centennialtotalsolarirradiancevariation