Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model

A large fraction of costs in wild fisheries are fuel related, and while much of the costs are related to gear used and stock targeted, search for fishing grounds also contributes to fuel costs. Lack of knowledge on the spatial abundance of stocks during the fishing season is a limiting factor for fi...

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Main Authors: Cian Kelly, Finn Are Michelsen, Morten Omholt Alver
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1171641/full
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author Cian Kelly
Finn Are Michelsen
Morten Omholt Alver
author_facet Cian Kelly
Finn Are Michelsen
Morten Omholt Alver
author_sort Cian Kelly
collection DOAJ
description A large fraction of costs in wild fisheries are fuel related, and while much of the costs are related to gear used and stock targeted, search for fishing grounds also contributes to fuel costs. Lack of knowledge on the spatial abundance of stocks during the fishing season is a limiting factor for fishing vessels when searching for suitable fishing grounds, and with better planning and routing, costs can be reduced. Strategic and tactical decision-making can be improved through operational decision support tools informed by real-time data and knowledge generated from research. In this article, we present a model-based estimation approach for predicting catch potential of ocean areas. An individual-based model of herring migrations is combined with an estimation approach known as Data Assimilation, which corrects model states using incoming data sources. The data used to correct the model are synthetic measurements generated from neural network output. Input to the neural network was vessel activity data of over 100 fishing vessels from 2015-2018, targeting mainly herring. The output is the predicted normalized density of herring in discrete grid cells. Model predictions are improved through assimilation of synthetic measurements with model states. Characterizing patterns from model output provides novel information on catch potential which can inform fishing activity.
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spelling doaj.art-d51c5f5313af49d5a77f31c81c0184272023-11-02T11:49:34ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452023-11-011010.3389/fmars.2023.11716411171641Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based modelCian Kelly0Finn Are Michelsen1Morten Omholt Alver2Department of Engineering Cybernetics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, NorwayFisheries and New Biomarine Industry, SINTEF Ocean, Trondheim, NorwayDepartment of Engineering Cybernetics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, NorwayA large fraction of costs in wild fisheries are fuel related, and while much of the costs are related to gear used and stock targeted, search for fishing grounds also contributes to fuel costs. Lack of knowledge on the spatial abundance of stocks during the fishing season is a limiting factor for fishing vessels when searching for suitable fishing grounds, and with better planning and routing, costs can be reduced. Strategic and tactical decision-making can be improved through operational decision support tools informed by real-time data and knowledge generated from research. In this article, we present a model-based estimation approach for predicting catch potential of ocean areas. An individual-based model of herring migrations is combined with an estimation approach known as Data Assimilation, which corrects model states using incoming data sources. The data used to correct the model are synthetic measurements generated from neural network output. Input to the neural network was vessel activity data of over 100 fishing vessels from 2015-2018, targeting mainly herring. The output is the predicted normalized density of herring in discrete grid cells. Model predictions are improved through assimilation of synthetic measurements with model states. Characterizing patterns from model output provides novel information on catch potential which can inform fishing activity.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1171641/fullneural networksynthetic measurementsindividual-based modelensemble Kalman filterdata assimilationcatch potential
spellingShingle Cian Kelly
Finn Are Michelsen
Morten Omholt Alver
Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model
Frontiers in Marine Science
neural network
synthetic measurements
individual-based model
ensemble Kalman filter
data assimilation
catch potential
title Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model
title_full Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model
title_fullStr Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model
title_short Estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual-based model
title_sort estimation of fish catch potential using assimilation of synthetic measurements with an individual based model
topic neural network
synthetic measurements
individual-based model
ensemble Kalman filter
data assimilation
catch potential
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1171641/full
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AT mortenomholtalver estimationoffishcatchpotentialusingassimilationofsyntheticmeasurementswithanindividualbasedmodel