Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression

Focusing on frequency problems caused by wind power integration in ultra-high-voltage DC systems, an accurate assessment of the maximum generation capacity of large-scale new energy sources can help determine the available frequency regulation capacity of new energy sources and improve the frequency...

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Main Authors: Yuzhuo Hu, Hui Li, Yuan Zeng, Qichao Chen, Haosen Cao, Wei Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Energy Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1323559/full
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author Yuzhuo Hu
Hui Li
Yuan Zeng
Qichao Chen
Haosen Cao
Wei Chen
author_facet Yuzhuo Hu
Hui Li
Yuan Zeng
Qichao Chen
Haosen Cao
Wei Chen
author_sort Yuzhuo Hu
collection DOAJ
description Focusing on frequency problems caused by wind power integration in ultra-high-voltage DC systems, an accurate assessment of the maximum generation capacity of large-scale new energy sources can help determine the available frequency regulation capacity of new energy sources and improve the frequency stability control of power systems. First, a random forest model is constructed to analyze the key features and select the indexes significantly related to the generation capacity to form the input feature set. Second, by establishing an iterative construction model of the polynomial fitting surface, data are maximized by the upper envelope surface, and an effective sample set is constructed. Furthermore, a new energy maximum generation capacity assessment model adopts the support vector machine regression algorithm under the whale optimization algorithm to derive the correspondence between the input features and maximum generation capacity of new energy sources. Finally, we validate the applicability and effectiveness of the new maximum energy generation capacity evaluation model based on the results of an actual wind farm.
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spelling doaj.art-d548f00847f14e759fe805bf29547c332023-12-21T04:56:49ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Energy Research2296-598X2023-12-011110.3389/fenrg.2023.13235591323559Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regressionYuzhuo Hu0Hui Li1Yuan Zeng2Qichao Chen3Haosen Cao4Wei Chen5Key Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaState Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaState Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co., Ltd, Beijing, ChinaKey Laboratory of Smart Grid of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin, ChinaState Grid Sichuan Economic Research Institute, Chengdu, ChinaFocusing on frequency problems caused by wind power integration in ultra-high-voltage DC systems, an accurate assessment of the maximum generation capacity of large-scale new energy sources can help determine the available frequency regulation capacity of new energy sources and improve the frequency stability control of power systems. First, a random forest model is constructed to analyze the key features and select the indexes significantly related to the generation capacity to form the input feature set. Second, by establishing an iterative construction model of the polynomial fitting surface, data are maximized by the upper envelope surface, and an effective sample set is constructed. Furthermore, a new energy maximum generation capacity assessment model adopts the support vector machine regression algorithm under the whale optimization algorithm to derive the correspondence between the input features and maximum generation capacity of new energy sources. Finally, we validate the applicability and effectiveness of the new maximum energy generation capacity evaluation model based on the results of an actual wind farm.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1323559/fullrandom forestfeature selectionpolynomial fitting surfaceswhale optimizationsupport vector regression machine
spellingShingle Yuzhuo Hu
Hui Li
Yuan Zeng
Qichao Chen
Haosen Cao
Wei Chen
Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
Frontiers in Energy Research
random forest
feature selection
polynomial fitting surfaces
whale optimization
support vector regression machine
title Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
title_full Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
title_fullStr Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
title_full_unstemmed Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
title_short Polynomial surface-fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
title_sort polynomial surface fitting evaluation of new energy maximum power generation capacity based on random forest association analysis and support vector regression
topic random forest
feature selection
polynomial fitting surfaces
whale optimization
support vector regression machine
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1323559/full
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