Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company

This paper presents a study focused on the analysis of phytosanitary treatment sales in the Souss Massa region of Morocco. The objective of the study is to predict the sales of agricultural products, particularly crop protection solutions, aiming to optimize supply chain operations and meet customer...

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Main Authors: Nebri Mohamed-Amine, Moussaid Abdellatif, Bouikhalene Belaid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-03-01
Series:Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853123002913
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author Nebri Mohamed-Amine
Moussaid Abdellatif
Bouikhalene Belaid
author_facet Nebri Mohamed-Amine
Moussaid Abdellatif
Bouikhalene Belaid
author_sort Nebri Mohamed-Amine
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents a study focused on the analysis of phytosanitary treatment sales in the Souss Massa region of Morocco. The objective of the study is to predict the sales of agricultural products, particularly crop protection solutions, aiming to optimize supply chain operations and meet customer demand effectively. Data for this study are collected from multiple sources, including the Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system called Microsoft Dynamics AXAPTA used by a leading agricultural company operating in the region. Information such as the date of sale, farming type, climate, and specific sales locations within the Sous Massa region is gathered. Machine learning techniques are applied for forecasting. Various regression models, including the Gradient Boosting Regressor algorithm, are employed to determine the most accurate predictor. Evaluation of the models reveals promising results, with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0035 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.0066. The results obtained by applying various regression models, including the Gradient Boosting Regressor algorithm, demonstrate promising prediction scores. These findings contribute to the field of sales prediction in the agricultural industry while considering the impact of climate conditions, farming practices, and regional factors.
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spelling doaj.art-d570aadb719c4c1eae2b171a74a6a0052024-04-09T04:12:48ZengElsevierJournal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity2199-85312024-03-01101100189Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural companyNebri Mohamed-Amine0Moussaid Abdellatif1Bouikhalene Belaid2Laboratory LIMATI, Department of Mathematics and Informatics, Polydisciplinary Faculty, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni Mellal, Morocco; Corresponding author.ENSIAS, Mohammed V University in Rabat, Rabat 10000, MoroccoLaboratory LIMATI, Department of Mathematics and Informatics, Polydisciplinary Faculty, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni Mellal, MoroccoThis paper presents a study focused on the analysis of phytosanitary treatment sales in the Souss Massa region of Morocco. The objective of the study is to predict the sales of agricultural products, particularly crop protection solutions, aiming to optimize supply chain operations and meet customer demand effectively. Data for this study are collected from multiple sources, including the Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system called Microsoft Dynamics AXAPTA used by a leading agricultural company operating in the region. Information such as the date of sale, farming type, climate, and specific sales locations within the Sous Massa region is gathered. Machine learning techniques are applied for forecasting. Various regression models, including the Gradient Boosting Regressor algorithm, are employed to determine the most accurate predictor. Evaluation of the models reveals promising results, with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0035 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.0066. The results obtained by applying various regression models, including the Gradient Boosting Regressor algorithm, demonstrate promising prediction scores. These findings contribute to the field of sales prediction in the agricultural industry while considering the impact of climate conditions, farming practices, and regional factors.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853123002913Machine learningSales predictionPhytosanitaryEnterprise resource planningClimateOpen innovation
spellingShingle Nebri Mohamed-Amine
Moussaid Abdellatif
Bouikhalene Belaid
Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company
Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity
Machine learning
Sales prediction
Phytosanitary
Enterprise resource planning
Climate
Open innovation
title Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company
title_full Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company
title_fullStr Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company
title_full_unstemmed Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company
title_short Artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products: A case study of a moroccan agricultural company
title_sort artificial intelligence for forecasting sales of agricultural products a case study of a moroccan agricultural company
topic Machine learning
Sales prediction
Phytosanitary
Enterprise resource planning
Climate
Open innovation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853123002913
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AT moussaidabdellatif artificialintelligenceforforecastingsalesofagriculturalproductsacasestudyofamoroccanagriculturalcompany
AT bouikhalenebelaid artificialintelligenceforforecastingsalesofagriculturalproductsacasestudyofamoroccanagriculturalcompany