Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts
Kelp forests, primarily Laminaria digitata, provide a broad range of ecosystem services of high social, economic, and ecological value and are considered one of the most productive ecosystems on the planet. Several studies have shown that kelp ecosystems are regressing in response to multiple stress...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2022-12-01
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| Series: | Ecosystems and People |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/26395916.2022.2080766 |
| _version_ | 1811242792248147968 |
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| author | Jules Pecquet Maud Mouchet Sylvie Campagne Virginie Raybaud Yoann Baulaz François Gevaert Frida Ben Rais Lasram |
| author_facet | Jules Pecquet Maud Mouchet Sylvie Campagne Virginie Raybaud Yoann Baulaz François Gevaert Frida Ben Rais Lasram |
| author_sort | Jules Pecquet |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Kelp forests, primarily Laminaria digitata, provide a broad range of ecosystem services of high social, economic, and ecological value and are considered one of the most productive ecosystems on the planet. Several studies have shown that kelp ecosystems are regressing in response to multiple stressors, especially climate change, which could lead to local extinctions. This may induce a decrease in the ecosystem services provided. Many studies use ecological niche models (ENM) to project potential future species distributions under climate change scenarios; however, no study has projected the future supply of ecosystem services resulting from shifts in species ranges and changes in biomass. In this study, using French coasts as a case study, we developed a new and reproducible methodological framework that combines ENM and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on ecosystem services supplied by kelp. To this end, we first identified ecosystem services currently provided by kelp and then used ENM to project future kelp distribution from 2041 to 2050 under climate scenarios RCP2.6 and RCP8.5. Finally, by estimating the biomass of kelp, we assessed the current and future ecosystem services provided by kelp. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:57:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-d5d781b33c954c95b9c8a2c6783b4c84 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2639-5908 2639-5916 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:57:16Z |
| publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecosystems and People |
| spelling | doaj.art-d5d781b33c954c95b9c8a2c6783b4c842022-12-22T03:30:20ZengTaylor & Francis GroupEcosystems and People2639-59082639-59162022-12-0118135837710.1080/26395916.2022.2080766Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coastsJules Pecquet0Maud Mouchet1Sylvie Campagne2Virginie Raybaud3Yoann Baulaz4François Gevaert5Frida Ben Rais Lasram6Université Littoral Côte d’Opale, Université Lille, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences, Wimereux, FranceMuseum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Centre of Ecology and Conservation Sciences, Paris, FranceSorbonne Université, CNRS, Station Biologique de Roscoff, Adaptation et Diversité en Milieu Marin, Roscoff, FranceUniversité Côte d’Azur, CNRS, ECOSEAS, Nice, FranceUniversité Littoral Côte d’Opale, Université Lille, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences, Wimereux, FranceUniversité Littoral Côte d’Opale, Université Lille, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences, Wimereux, FranceUniversité Littoral Côte d’Opale, Université Lille, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences, Wimereux, FranceKelp forests, primarily Laminaria digitata, provide a broad range of ecosystem services of high social, economic, and ecological value and are considered one of the most productive ecosystems on the planet. Several studies have shown that kelp ecosystems are regressing in response to multiple stressors, especially climate change, which could lead to local extinctions. This may induce a decrease in the ecosystem services provided. Many studies use ecological niche models (ENM) to project potential future species distributions under climate change scenarios; however, no study has projected the future supply of ecosystem services resulting from shifts in species ranges and changes in biomass. In this study, using French coasts as a case study, we developed a new and reproducible methodological framework that combines ENM and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on ecosystem services supplied by kelp. To this end, we first identified ecosystem services currently provided by kelp and then used ENM to project future kelp distribution from 2041 to 2050 under climate scenarios RCP2.6 and RCP8.5. Finally, by estimating the biomass of kelp, we assessed the current and future ecosystem services provided by kelp.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/26395916.2022.2080766Evangelia DrakouLaminaria digitataclimate changeecosystem services indicatorsecological niche modelsprojections |
| spellingShingle | Jules Pecquet Maud Mouchet Sylvie Campagne Virginie Raybaud Yoann Baulaz François Gevaert Frida Ben Rais Lasram Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts Ecosystems and People Evangelia Drakou Laminaria digitata climate change ecosystem services indicators ecological niche models projections |
| title | Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts |
| title_full | Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts |
| title_fullStr | Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts |
| title_full_unstemmed | Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts |
| title_short | Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts |
| title_sort | combining ecological niche models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp application to french coasts |
| topic | Evangelia Drakou Laminaria digitata climate change ecosystem services indicators ecological niche models projections |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/26395916.2022.2080766 |
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