Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
AbstractClimate change scenarios of precipitation and temperature were divided into three time windows of 30 years each from 2011 to 2099. The new version of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT v2.6.1) was used to simulate the hydrological response and it was first calibrated and validated using o...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2024-01-01
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Series: | Geocarto International |
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Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2335246 |
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author | Solomon Addisu Ahmed Tadele Hanibal Lema |
author_facet | Solomon Addisu Ahmed Tadele Hanibal Lema |
author_sort | Solomon Addisu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | AbstractClimate change scenarios of precipitation and temperature were divided into three time windows of 30 years each from 2011 to 2099. The new version of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT v2.6.1) was used to simulate the hydrological response and it was first calibrated and validated using observed data as an input for assessing the hydrological responses. The results showed that the QSWAT calibration and validation reveals a good agreement (R2=0.77) during calibration and validation. Whereas nash and Sutcliffe simulation efficiency (NSE) was found to be 0.76 during calibration and 0.73 during validation. Based on changes of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, the monthly flow volume did not show systematic trends i.e. increases non-rainy months and decreases in the wet-months. Thus, the hydrology of Megech River is highly vulnerable to climate change which causes water stress for domestic use and environmental flow. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-24T11:11:10Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-d5e8ec031c4747efae06dc151c03e50f |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1010-6049 1752-0762 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T11:11:10Z |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
record_format | Article |
series | Geocarto International |
spelling | doaj.art-d5e8ec031c4747efae06dc151c03e50f2024-04-11T14:34:54ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622024-01-0139110.1080/10106049.2024.2335246Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, EthiopiaSolomon Addisu0Ahmed Tadele1Hanibal Lema2College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, EthiopiaCollege of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, EthiopiaInstitute Technology, Faculty of Civil and Water Resources Engineering, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, EthiopiaAbstractClimate change scenarios of precipitation and temperature were divided into three time windows of 30 years each from 2011 to 2099. The new version of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT v2.6.1) was used to simulate the hydrological response and it was first calibrated and validated using observed data as an input for assessing the hydrological responses. The results showed that the QSWAT calibration and validation reveals a good agreement (R2=0.77) during calibration and validation. Whereas nash and Sutcliffe simulation efficiency (NSE) was found to be 0.76 during calibration and 0.73 during validation. Based on changes of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, the monthly flow volume did not show systematic trends i.e. increases non-rainy months and decreases in the wet-months. Thus, the hydrology of Megech River is highly vulnerable to climate change which causes water stress for domestic use and environmental flow.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2335246Climate changehydrologyrainfalldownscalingglobal circulationmodels |
spellingShingle | Solomon Addisu Ahmed Tadele Hanibal Lema Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia Geocarto International Climate change hydrology rainfall downscaling global circulation models |
title | Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia |
title_full | Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia |
title_fullStr | Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia |
title_short | Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia |
title_sort | climate change and hydrological response of megech catchment upper blue nile river basin ethiopia |
topic | Climate change hydrology rainfall downscaling global circulation models |
url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2335246 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT solomonaddisu climatechangeandhydrologicalresponseofmegechcatchmentupperbluenileriverbasinethiopia AT ahmedtadele climatechangeandhydrologicalresponseofmegechcatchmentupperbluenileriverbasinethiopia AT haniballema climatechangeandhydrologicalresponseofmegechcatchmentupperbluenileriverbasinethiopia |