Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia

AbstractClimate change scenarios of precipitation and temperature were divided into three time windows of 30 years each from 2011 to 2099. The new version of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT v2.6.1) was used to simulate the hydrological response and it was first calibrated and validated using o...

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Main Authors: Solomon Addisu, Ahmed Tadele, Hanibal Lema
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-01-01
Series:Geocarto International
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2335246
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author Solomon Addisu
Ahmed Tadele
Hanibal Lema
author_facet Solomon Addisu
Ahmed Tadele
Hanibal Lema
author_sort Solomon Addisu
collection DOAJ
description AbstractClimate change scenarios of precipitation and temperature were divided into three time windows of 30 years each from 2011 to 2099. The new version of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT v2.6.1) was used to simulate the hydrological response and it was first calibrated and validated using observed data as an input for assessing the hydrological responses. The results showed that the QSWAT calibration and validation reveals a good agreement (R2=0.77) during calibration and validation. Whereas nash and Sutcliffe simulation efficiency (NSE) was found to be 0.76 during calibration and 0.73 during validation. Based on changes of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, the monthly flow volume did not show systematic trends i.e. increases non-rainy months and decreases in the wet-months. Thus, the hydrology of Megech River is highly vulnerable to climate change which causes water stress for domestic use and environmental flow.
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spelling doaj.art-d5e8ec031c4747efae06dc151c03e50f2024-04-11T14:34:54ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622024-01-0139110.1080/10106049.2024.2335246Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, EthiopiaSolomon Addisu0Ahmed Tadele1Hanibal Lema2College of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, EthiopiaCollege of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, EthiopiaInstitute Technology, Faculty of Civil and Water Resources Engineering, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, EthiopiaAbstractClimate change scenarios of precipitation and temperature were divided into three time windows of 30 years each from 2011 to 2099. The new version of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT v2.6.1) was used to simulate the hydrological response and it was first calibrated and validated using observed data as an input for assessing the hydrological responses. The results showed that the QSWAT calibration and validation reveals a good agreement (R2=0.77) during calibration and validation. Whereas nash and Sutcliffe simulation efficiency (NSE) was found to be 0.76 during calibration and 0.73 during validation. Based on changes of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, the monthly flow volume did not show systematic trends i.e. increases non-rainy months and decreases in the wet-months. Thus, the hydrology of Megech River is highly vulnerable to climate change which causes water stress for domestic use and environmental flow.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2335246Climate changehydrologyrainfalldownscalingglobal circulationmodels
spellingShingle Solomon Addisu
Ahmed Tadele
Hanibal Lema
Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
Geocarto International
Climate change
hydrology
rainfall
downscaling
global circulation
models
title Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
title_full Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
title_fullStr Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
title_short Climate change and hydrological response of Megech catchment, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia
title_sort climate change and hydrological response of megech catchment upper blue nile river basin ethiopia
topic Climate change
hydrology
rainfall
downscaling
global circulation
models
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2335246
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AT ahmedtadele climatechangeandhydrologicalresponseofmegechcatchmentupperbluenileriverbasinethiopia
AT haniballema climatechangeandhydrologicalresponseofmegechcatchmentupperbluenileriverbasinethiopia