Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030

Understanding the level of investment needed for the next decade is vital to achieve the goal of Immunization Agenda 2030 (IA2030). Through the immunization funder perspective, this study estimates both global and regional economic resources required to achieve IA2030 coverage among 194 WHO member c...

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Main Authors: Salin Sriudomporn, Elizabeth Watts, So Yoon Sim, Raymond Hutubessy, Bryan Patenaude
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-04-01
Series:Vaccine: X
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590136222001164
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author Salin Sriudomporn
Elizabeth Watts
So Yoon Sim
Raymond Hutubessy
Bryan Patenaude
author_facet Salin Sriudomporn
Elizabeth Watts
So Yoon Sim
Raymond Hutubessy
Bryan Patenaude
author_sort Salin Sriudomporn
collection DOAJ
description Understanding the level of investment needed for the next decade is vital to achieve the goal of Immunization Agenda 2030 (IA2030). Through the immunization funder perspective, this study estimates both global and regional economic resources required to achieve IA2030 coverage among 194 WHO member countries from 2021 to 2030, against 14 pathogens: Hepatitis B (Hep B), Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), Human papillomavirus (HPV), Japanese encephalitis (JE), Measles, Meningitis A (Men A), Streptococcus pneumoniae, Rotavirus, Rubella, Yellow Fever (YF), Diphtheria, Tetanus, Pertussis, and Tuberculosis.The total cost of immunization program, routine vaccine, routine delivery, and non-routine costs (SIA and stockpile) were estimated using WHO coverage forecast for IA2030. Incremental costs of achieving IA2030 for all vaccines and cost per immunized child were also assessed. All costs were calculated for each income and regional level, as well as global level. Scenario analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted to account for uncertainty in future vaccine pricing and delivery costs.The total cost of immunization programs is $269.8 billion (95% confidence interval: $247.1 - $311.8), of which $152.8 billion is considered as routine vaccine cost, $114.9 billion is routine delivery cost. Non– routine cost for LICs and LMICs totaled $2.1 billion. The incremental cost of achieving coverage goals after 2020 is $89.9 billion ($27.7-$110.1), with upper-middle income countries requiring the largest increase in investment (56.2% of incremental costs). The average immunization cost per child across all countries is $192.6. Scenario analysis using the minimum and maximum vaccines price for fully self-financing countries resulted in total costs ranging from $193.6 and $552.2 billion.The immunization program cost among 194 WHO member countries is expected to increase during this decade. The strategy for resource mobilization and increasing investment from country governments and donors are essential to achieving IA2030 coverage and ensuring sustainable immunization programs.
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spelling doaj.art-d622c215632f42ef9b790cca419f96512023-04-03T05:22:56ZengElsevierVaccine: X2590-13622023-04-0113100256Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030Salin Sriudomporn0Elizabeth Watts1So Yoon Sim2Raymond Hutubessy3Bryan Patenaude4International Vaccine Access Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA; Corresponding author at: 415 N Washington St., Baltimore, MD 20231, USA.Division of Health Policy and Management, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USAImmunization Analysis & Insights (IAI) unit, Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization, Geneva, SwitzerlandImmunization Analysis & Insights (IAI) unit, Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization, Geneva, SwitzerlandInternational Vaccine Access Center, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USAUnderstanding the level of investment needed for the next decade is vital to achieve the goal of Immunization Agenda 2030 (IA2030). Through the immunization funder perspective, this study estimates both global and regional economic resources required to achieve IA2030 coverage among 194 WHO member countries from 2021 to 2030, against 14 pathogens: Hepatitis B (Hep B), Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), Human papillomavirus (HPV), Japanese encephalitis (JE), Measles, Meningitis A (Men A), Streptococcus pneumoniae, Rotavirus, Rubella, Yellow Fever (YF), Diphtheria, Tetanus, Pertussis, and Tuberculosis.The total cost of immunization program, routine vaccine, routine delivery, and non-routine costs (SIA and stockpile) were estimated using WHO coverage forecast for IA2030. Incremental costs of achieving IA2030 for all vaccines and cost per immunized child were also assessed. All costs were calculated for each income and regional level, as well as global level. Scenario analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted to account for uncertainty in future vaccine pricing and delivery costs.The total cost of immunization programs is $269.8 billion (95% confidence interval: $247.1 - $311.8), of which $152.8 billion is considered as routine vaccine cost, $114.9 billion is routine delivery cost. Non– routine cost for LICs and LMICs totaled $2.1 billion. The incremental cost of achieving coverage goals after 2020 is $89.9 billion ($27.7-$110.1), with upper-middle income countries requiring the largest increase in investment (56.2% of incremental costs). The average immunization cost per child across all countries is $192.6. Scenario analysis using the minimum and maximum vaccines price for fully self-financing countries resulted in total costs ranging from $193.6 and $552.2 billion.The immunization program cost among 194 WHO member countries is expected to increase during this decade. The strategy for resource mobilization and increasing investment from country governments and donors are essential to achieving IA2030 coverage and ensuring sustainable immunization programs.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590136222001164VaccineImmunisationEconomicsCostInvestment
spellingShingle Salin Sriudomporn
Elizabeth Watts
So Yoon Sim
Raymond Hutubessy
Bryan Patenaude
Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030
Vaccine: X
Vaccine
Immunisation
Economics
Cost
Investment
title Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030
title_full Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030
title_fullStr Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030
title_full_unstemmed Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030
title_short Achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens: Projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 Countries, 2021–2030
title_sort achieving immunization agenda 2030 coverage targets for 14 pathogens projected product and immunization delivery costs for 194 countries 2021 2030
topic Vaccine
Immunisation
Economics
Cost
Investment
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590136222001164
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