Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.

We identified the spatiotemporal patterns of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for the years 1982-2008 in the desert areas of Northwest China and quantified the impacts of climate and non-climate factors on NDVI changes. The results indicate that although the mean NDVI has improved i...

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Main Authors: Tianyi Zhang, Hesong Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2015-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4427295?pdf=render
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author Tianyi Zhang
Hesong Wang
author_facet Tianyi Zhang
Hesong Wang
author_sort Tianyi Zhang
collection DOAJ
description We identified the spatiotemporal patterns of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for the years 1982-2008 in the desert areas of Northwest China and quantified the impacts of climate and non-climate factors on NDVI changes. The results indicate that although the mean NDVI has improved in 24.7% of the study region; 16.3% among the region has been stagnating in recent years and only 8.4% had a significantly increasing trend. Additionally, 45.3% of the region has maintained a stable trend over the study period and 30.0% has declined. A multiple regression model suggests that a wetter climate (quantified by the Palmer Drought Severity Index, PDSI) is associated with higher NDVI in most areas (18.1% of significance) but these historical changes in PDSI only caused an average improvement of approximately 0.4% over the study region. Contrasting the regression results under different trend patterns, no significant differences in PDSI impacts were detected among the four trend patterns. Therefore, we conclude that climate is not the primary driver for vegetative coverage in Northwest China. Future studies will be required to identify the impacts of specific non-climatic factors on vegetative coverage based on high-resolution data, which will be beneficial in creating an effective strategy to combat the recent desertification trend in China.
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spelling doaj.art-d62c58f9e3b3423dbf4f5c003d2d8dc62022-12-22T03:04:03ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032015-01-01105e012604410.1371/journal.pone.0126044Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.Tianyi ZhangHesong WangWe identified the spatiotemporal patterns of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for the years 1982-2008 in the desert areas of Northwest China and quantified the impacts of climate and non-climate factors on NDVI changes. The results indicate that although the mean NDVI has improved in 24.7% of the study region; 16.3% among the region has been stagnating in recent years and only 8.4% had a significantly increasing trend. Additionally, 45.3% of the region has maintained a stable trend over the study period and 30.0% has declined. A multiple regression model suggests that a wetter climate (quantified by the Palmer Drought Severity Index, PDSI) is associated with higher NDVI in most areas (18.1% of significance) but these historical changes in PDSI only caused an average improvement of approximately 0.4% over the study region. Contrasting the regression results under different trend patterns, no significant differences in PDSI impacts were detected among the four trend patterns. Therefore, we conclude that climate is not the primary driver for vegetative coverage in Northwest China. Future studies will be required to identify the impacts of specific non-climatic factors on vegetative coverage based on high-resolution data, which will be beneficial in creating an effective strategy to combat the recent desertification trend in China.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4427295?pdf=render
spellingShingle Tianyi Zhang
Hesong Wang
Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.
PLoS ONE
title Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.
title_full Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.
title_fullStr Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.
title_full_unstemmed Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.
title_short Trend Patterns of Vegetative Coverage and Their Underlying Causes in the Deserts of Northwest China over 1982-2008.
title_sort trend patterns of vegetative coverage and their underlying causes in the deserts of northwest china over 1982 2008
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4427295?pdf=render
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