Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda

The municipality of La Virginia (Risaralda, Colombia) is constantly affected by fl oods that originate from increased water levels in the Cauca River. Disaster relief agencies do not currently have adequate monitoring systems to identify potential overfl ow events in time-series observations to pre...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tito Morales-Pinzón, Juan David Céspedes-Restrepo, Manuel Tiberio Flórez-Calderón
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Antioquia 2015-09-01
Series:Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/20792
_version_ 1797861787435008000
author Tito Morales-Pinzón
Juan David Céspedes-Restrepo
Manuel Tiberio Flórez-Calderón
author_facet Tito Morales-Pinzón
Juan David Céspedes-Restrepo
Manuel Tiberio Flórez-Calderón
author_sort Tito Morales-Pinzón
collection DOAJ
description The municipality of La Virginia (Risaralda, Colombia) is constantly affected by fl oods that originate from increased water levels in the Cauca River. Disaster relief agencies do not currently have adequate monitoring systems to identify potential overfl ow events in time-series observations to prevent fl ood damage to homes or injury to the general population. In this paper, various simulation models are proposed for the prediction of fl ooding that contributes as a technical tool to the development and implementation of early warning systems to improve the responsiveness of disaster relief agencies. The models, which are based on artifi cial neural networks, take hydroclimatological information from different stations along the Cauca River Basin, and the trend indicates the average daily level of the river within the next 48 hours. This methodology can be easily applied to other urban areas exposed to fl ood risks in developing countries.
first_indexed 2024-04-09T22:10:01Z
format Article
id doaj.art-d6796bd13d9e4c33a4815fd410223b26
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 0120-6230
2422-2844
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-09T22:10:01Z
publishDate 2015-09-01
publisher Universidad de Antioquia
record_format Article
series Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
spelling doaj.art-d6796bd13d9e4c33a4815fd410223b262023-03-23T12:30:58ZengUniversidad de AntioquiaRevista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia0120-62302422-28442015-09-017610.17533/udea.redin.n76a06Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - RisaraldaTito Morales-Pinzón0Juan David Céspedes-Restrepo1Manuel Tiberio Flórez-Calderón2Technological University of PereiraTechnological University of PereiraTechnological University of Pereira The municipality of La Virginia (Risaralda, Colombia) is constantly affected by fl oods that originate from increased water levels in the Cauca River. Disaster relief agencies do not currently have adequate monitoring systems to identify potential overfl ow events in time-series observations to prevent fl ood damage to homes or injury to the general population. In this paper, various simulation models are proposed for the prediction of fl ooding that contributes as a technical tool to the development and implementation of early warning systems to improve the responsiveness of disaster relief agencies. The models, which are based on artifi cial neural networks, take hydroclimatological information from different stations along the Cauca River Basin, and the trend indicates the average daily level of the river within the next 48 hours. This methodology can be easily applied to other urban areas exposed to fl ood risks in developing countries. https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/20792flood forecastingflood riskartificial neural networks
spellingShingle Tito Morales-Pinzón
Juan David Céspedes-Restrepo
Manuel Tiberio Flórez-Calderón
Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda
Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
flood forecasting
flood risk
artificial neural networks
title Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda
title_full Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda
title_fullStr Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda
title_full_unstemmed Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda
title_short Daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network: case study in La Virginia - Risaralda
title_sort daily river level forecast based on the development of an artificial neural network case study in la virginia risaralda
topic flood forecasting
flood risk
artificial neural networks
url https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/20792
work_keys_str_mv AT titomoralespinzon dailyriverlevelforecastbasedonthedevelopmentofanartificialneuralnetworkcasestudyinlavirginiarisaralda
AT juandavidcespedesrestrepo dailyriverlevelforecastbasedonthedevelopmentofanartificialneuralnetworkcasestudyinlavirginiarisaralda
AT manueltiberioflorezcalderon dailyriverlevelforecastbasedonthedevelopmentofanartificialneuralnetworkcasestudyinlavirginiarisaralda