Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies

The trade-off between output and unemployment has become an essential part of modern macroeconomics and is known as Okun’s law. However, in transition and emerging markets economies’ context, the output-employment nexus has a much more important role as these countries strive to significantly improv...

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Main Authors: Mihajlović Vladimir, Marjanović Gordana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2021-06-01
Series:Naše Gospodarstvo
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0007
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author Mihajlović Vladimir
Marjanović Gordana
author_facet Mihajlović Vladimir
Marjanović Gordana
author_sort Mihajlović Vladimir
collection DOAJ
description The trade-off between output and unemployment has become an essential part of modern macroeconomics and is known as Okun’s law. However, in transition and emerging markets economies’ context, the output-employment nexus has a much more important role as these countries strive to significantly improve the growth dynamics of both variables. This paper aims to analyze the particularities of this relationship in selected Central- and South-Eastern European transition (and former transition) countries to find out a discrepancy between the output and employment growth. Therefore, the employment elasticity coefficients are calculated. The estimated results suggest that, in the observed period, economic growth has not contributed to satisfactory employment growth, which is commonly referred to as a “jobless growth” hypothesis. Accordingly, this paper attempts to single out the main challenges of the output-employment growth misbalance in these countries and propose adequate policy measures that could reduce it. The industrial policy that differentiates from the “one-size-fits-all” paradigm is emphasized as the most important part of macroeconomic policy in transition economies to make their development more balanced. Additionally, short-run stabilization policy, especially the one focused on the labour market, has a significant role in these economies.
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spelling doaj.art-d682b40cb9454e60a6bc9f72ed0bde042022-12-21T23:38:36ZengSciendoNaše Gospodarstvo2385-80522021-06-016721910.2478/ngoe-2021-0007Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition EconomiesMihajlović Vladimir0Marjanović Gordana1University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, SerbiaUniversity of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, SerbiaThe trade-off between output and unemployment has become an essential part of modern macroeconomics and is known as Okun’s law. However, in transition and emerging markets economies’ context, the output-employment nexus has a much more important role as these countries strive to significantly improve the growth dynamics of both variables. This paper aims to analyze the particularities of this relationship in selected Central- and South-Eastern European transition (and former transition) countries to find out a discrepancy between the output and employment growth. Therefore, the employment elasticity coefficients are calculated. The estimated results suggest that, in the observed period, economic growth has not contributed to satisfactory employment growth, which is commonly referred to as a “jobless growth” hypothesis. Accordingly, this paper attempts to single out the main challenges of the output-employment growth misbalance in these countries and propose adequate policy measures that could reduce it. The industrial policy that differentiates from the “one-size-fits-all” paradigm is emphasized as the most important part of macroeconomic policy in transition economies to make their development more balanced. Additionally, short-run stabilization policy, especially the one focused on the labour market, has a significant role in these economies.https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0007economic growthemployment elasticityokun’s lawlabour markettransition economiesc22e24f43
spellingShingle Mihajlović Vladimir
Marjanović Gordana
Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies
Naše Gospodarstvo
economic growth
employment elasticity
okun’s law
labour market
transition economies
c22
e24
f43
title Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies
title_full Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies
title_fullStr Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies
title_full_unstemmed Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies
title_short Challenges of the Output-Employment Growth Imbalance in Transition Economies
title_sort challenges of the output employment growth imbalance in transition economies
topic economic growth
employment elasticity
okun’s law
labour market
transition economies
c22
e24
f43
url https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2021-0007
work_keys_str_mv AT mihajlovicvladimir challengesoftheoutputemploymentgrowthimbalanceintransitioneconomies
AT marjanovicgordana challengesoftheoutputemploymentgrowthimbalanceintransitioneconomies