Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques

Analysis of extreme annual rainfall in the six north-east Indian states of Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura using the deterministic interpolation technique of inverse distance weighting (IDW), the geospatial interpolation technique of Ordinary Kriging (OK) and the machine le...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shivam Agarwal, Disha Mukherjee, Nilotpal Debbarma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2023-12-01
Series:Water Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://wpol.iwaponline.com/content/25/12/1113
_version_ 1797368695853416448
author Shivam Agarwal
Disha Mukherjee
Nilotpal Debbarma
author_facet Shivam Agarwal
Disha Mukherjee
Nilotpal Debbarma
author_sort Shivam Agarwal
collection DOAJ
description Analysis of extreme annual rainfall in the six north-east Indian states of Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura using the deterministic interpolation technique of inverse distance weighting (IDW), the geospatial interpolation technique of Ordinary Kriging (OK) and the machine learning prediction technique of generalised additive model (GAM). GAM is used only for prediction and hence the results are then subsequently interpolated by OK to create the rainfall maps. The datasets considered for this study are a training dataset of 171 points which consisted of satellite rainfall and a testing dataset with ground rain gauge data of 33 points which was used for validation of the former. A combined dataset of training + testing was also interpolated and mapped to compare for visual accuracy of each technique. It was seen that OK was a superior and a much more realistic interpolation technique than IDW, since it took the altitude of each site into consideration along with latitude and longitude, unlike IDW, which only interpolated over the x–y plane and didn't rely on altitude. When the predictions of the training dataset through GAM were mapped using OK, it showed almost parallel contours, which is undesirable for natural phenomenon like rain. HIGHLIGHTS Analyse extreme annual rainfall in the six north-east Indian states of Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura by using.; Using the deterministic interpolation technique of Inverse distance weighting method (IDW).; The geospatial interpolation technique of Ordinary Kriging (OK).; The machine learning prediction technique of generalised additive model (GAM).5.GAM is used for prediction.;
first_indexed 2024-03-08T17:36:19Z
format Article
id doaj.art-d6c892a447a44aa8b4e4c9bd76db8b0d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1366-7017
1996-9759
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T17:36:19Z
publishDate 2023-12-01
publisher IWA Publishing
record_format Article
series Water Policy
spelling doaj.art-d6c892a447a44aa8b4e4c9bd76db8b0d2024-01-02T12:48:25ZengIWA PublishingWater Policy1366-70171996-97592023-12-0125121113112410.2166/wp.2023.078078Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniquesShivam Agarwal0Disha Mukherjee1Nilotpal Debbarma2 Civil Engineering Department, NIT Silchar, Silchar 788010, India Civil Engineering Department, NIT Agartala, Barjala, Jirania, Agartala 799046, India Civil Engineering Department, NIT Agartala, Barjala, Jirania, Agartala 799046, India Analysis of extreme annual rainfall in the six north-east Indian states of Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura using the deterministic interpolation technique of inverse distance weighting (IDW), the geospatial interpolation technique of Ordinary Kriging (OK) and the machine learning prediction technique of generalised additive model (GAM). GAM is used only for prediction and hence the results are then subsequently interpolated by OK to create the rainfall maps. The datasets considered for this study are a training dataset of 171 points which consisted of satellite rainfall and a testing dataset with ground rain gauge data of 33 points which was used for validation of the former. A combined dataset of training + testing was also interpolated and mapped to compare for visual accuracy of each technique. It was seen that OK was a superior and a much more realistic interpolation technique than IDW, since it took the altitude of each site into consideration along with latitude and longitude, unlike IDW, which only interpolated over the x–y plane and didn't rely on altitude. When the predictions of the training dataset through GAM were mapped using OK, it showed almost parallel contours, which is undesirable for natural phenomenon like rain. HIGHLIGHTS Analyse extreme annual rainfall in the six north-east Indian states of Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura by using.; Using the deterministic interpolation technique of Inverse distance weighting method (IDW).; The geospatial interpolation technique of Ordinary Kriging (OK).; The machine learning prediction technique of generalised additive model (GAM).5.GAM is used for prediction.;http://wpol.iwaponline.com/content/25/12/1113generalised additive models (gams)inverse distance weighting (idw)krigingnorth-east indiarainfall
spellingShingle Shivam Agarwal
Disha Mukherjee
Nilotpal Debbarma
Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques
Water Policy
generalised additive models (gams)
inverse distance weighting (idw)
kriging
north-east india
rainfall
title Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques
title_full Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques
title_fullStr Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques
title_full_unstemmed Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques
title_short Determination of annual rainfall in north-east India using deterministic, geospatial, and machine learning techniques
title_sort determination of annual rainfall in north east india using deterministic geospatial and machine learning techniques
topic generalised additive models (gams)
inverse distance weighting (idw)
kriging
north-east india
rainfall
url http://wpol.iwaponline.com/content/25/12/1113
work_keys_str_mv AT shivamagarwal determinationofannualrainfallinnortheastindiausingdeterministicgeospatialandmachinelearningtechniques
AT dishamukherjee determinationofannualrainfallinnortheastindiausingdeterministicgeospatialandmachinelearningtechniques
AT nilotpaldebbarma determinationofannualrainfallinnortheastindiausingdeterministicgeospatialandmachinelearningtechniques