Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis
We devised a data-driven framework for uncovering hidden control strategies used by an evolutionary system described by an evolutionary probability distribution. This innovative framework enables deciphering of the concealed mechanisms that contribute to the progression or mitigation of such situati...
Main Authors: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
MDPI AG
2023-10-01
|
Series: | Mathematical and Computational Applications |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/28/5/103 |
_version_ | 1797573118529634304 |
---|---|
author | Nourddine Azzaoui Tomoko Matsui Daisuke Murakami |
author_facet | Nourddine Azzaoui Tomoko Matsui Daisuke Murakami |
author_sort | Nourddine Azzaoui |
collection | DOAJ |
description | We devised a data-driven framework for uncovering hidden control strategies used by an evolutionary system described by an evolutionary probability distribution. This innovative framework enables deciphering of the concealed mechanisms that contribute to the progression or mitigation of such situations as the spread of COVID-19. Novel algorithms are used to estimate the optimal control in tandem with the parameters for evolution in general dynamical systems, thereby extending the concept of model predictive control. This marks a significant departure from conventional control methods, which require knowledge of the system to manipulate its evolution and of the controller’s strategy or parameters. We use a generalized additive model, supplemented by extensive statistical testing, to identify a set of predictor covariates closely linked to the control. Using real-world COVID-19 data, we delineate the descriptive behaviors of the COVID-19 epidemics in five prefectures in Japan and nine countries. We compare these nine countries and group them on the basis of shared profiles, providing valuable insights into their pandemic responses. Our findings underscore the potential of our framework as a powerful tool for understanding and managing complex evolutionary processes. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-10T21:05:09Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-d6d12fe9f3ef4ffd95970a45eec192cd |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1300-686X 2297-8747 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-10T21:05:09Z |
publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
publisher | MDPI AG |
record_format | Article |
series | Mathematical and Computational Applications |
spelling | doaj.art-d6d12fe9f3ef4ffd95970a45eec192cd2023-11-19T17:15:45ZengMDPI AGMathematical and Computational Applications1300-686X2297-87472023-10-0128510310.3390/mca28050103Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary AnalysisNourddine Azzaoui0Tomoko Matsui1Daisuke Murakami2Laboratoire de Mathématiques Blaise Pascal, University of Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, 63000 Clermont-Ferrand, FranceDepartment of Statistical Modeling, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa 190-8562, Tokyo, JapanDepartment of Statistical Modeling, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa 190-8562, Tokyo, JapanWe devised a data-driven framework for uncovering hidden control strategies used by an evolutionary system described by an evolutionary probability distribution. This innovative framework enables deciphering of the concealed mechanisms that contribute to the progression or mitigation of such situations as the spread of COVID-19. Novel algorithms are used to estimate the optimal control in tandem with the parameters for evolution in general dynamical systems, thereby extending the concept of model predictive control. This marks a significant departure from conventional control methods, which require knowledge of the system to manipulate its evolution and of the controller’s strategy or parameters. We use a generalized additive model, supplemented by extensive statistical testing, to identify a set of predictor covariates closely linked to the control. Using real-world COVID-19 data, we delineate the descriptive behaviors of the COVID-19 epidemics in five prefectures in Japan and nine countries. We compare these nine countries and group them on the basis of shared profiles, providing valuable insights into their pandemic responses. Our findings underscore the potential of our framework as a powerful tool for understanding and managing complex evolutionary processes.https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/28/5/103data-driven optimization algorithmmodel predictive controlevolutionary probability distributiongeneralized additive modelclassificationCOVID-19 evolution |
spellingShingle | Nourddine Azzaoui Tomoko Matsui Daisuke Murakami Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis Mathematical and Computational Applications data-driven optimization algorithm model predictive control evolutionary probability distribution generalized additive model classification COVID-19 evolution |
title | Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis |
title_full | Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis |
title_fullStr | Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis |
title_full_unstemmed | Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis |
title_short | Data-Driven Framework for Uncovering Hidden Control Strategies in Evolutionary Analysis |
title_sort | data driven framework for uncovering hidden control strategies in evolutionary analysis |
topic | data-driven optimization algorithm model predictive control evolutionary probability distribution generalized additive model classification COVID-19 evolution |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/28/5/103 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT nourddineazzaoui datadrivenframeworkforuncoveringhiddencontrolstrategiesinevolutionaryanalysis AT tomokomatsui datadrivenframeworkforuncoveringhiddencontrolstrategiesinevolutionaryanalysis AT daisukemurakami datadrivenframeworkforuncoveringhiddencontrolstrategiesinevolutionaryanalysis |