Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate

The slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and associated consequences on ocean carbon uptake could have large implications for the Earth's climate system and its global carbon cycle. This study analyzes ten Earth System Models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison...

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Main Authors: Qi Zhang, Takamitsu Ito, Annalisa Bracco
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1304193/full
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author Qi Zhang
Takamitsu Ito
Annalisa Bracco
author_facet Qi Zhang
Takamitsu Ito
Annalisa Bracco
author_sort Qi Zhang
collection DOAJ
description The slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and associated consequences on ocean carbon uptake could have large implications for the Earth's climate system and its global carbon cycle. This study analyzes ten Earth System Models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and reveals that the regional carbon uptake in the subpolar North Atlantic under a high CO2 emission scenario moderately correlates with the decline in AMOC at 40°N. AMOC transports warm and salty subtropical waters to the subpolar regions. Models with stronger AMOC slowdown generally exhibit weaker surface warming and larger decline of surface salinity and alkalinity. We consider two plausible mechanisms linking the AMOC slowdown to the decline of regional CO2 uptake: the reduction in surface alkalinity and diminished subduction. The decline of surface salinity and alkalinity reduces the ocean's capacity to buffer acids leading to a reduced CO2 uptake. This important contribution is unique to the North Atlantic. Diminished convective mixing and subduction of surface water can further decrease the downward transport of anthropogenic carbon, as also shown in previous research. The centennial trends of pCO2 are decomposed into four components driven by temperature, salinity, alkalinity and dissolved inorganic carbon, revealing that alkalinity and dissolved inorganic carbon are both significant contributors. The alkalinity-driven pCO2 essentially follows surface salinity, establishing the linkage between AMOC slowdown and alkalinity decline. Our results indicate that alkalinity changes are important for the interplay between AMOC and the regional carbon sequestration ability across the late 20th and the entirety of the 21st century in the subpolar North Atlantic.
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spelling doaj.art-d6e4b05973654deeb2715a0519ebd27e2024-04-09T13:02:06ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452024-04-011110.3389/fmars.2024.13041931304193Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climateQi ZhangTakamitsu ItoAnnalisa BraccoThe slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and associated consequences on ocean carbon uptake could have large implications for the Earth's climate system and its global carbon cycle. This study analyzes ten Earth System Models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and reveals that the regional carbon uptake in the subpolar North Atlantic under a high CO2 emission scenario moderately correlates with the decline in AMOC at 40°N. AMOC transports warm and salty subtropical waters to the subpolar regions. Models with stronger AMOC slowdown generally exhibit weaker surface warming and larger decline of surface salinity and alkalinity. We consider two plausible mechanisms linking the AMOC slowdown to the decline of regional CO2 uptake: the reduction in surface alkalinity and diminished subduction. The decline of surface salinity and alkalinity reduces the ocean's capacity to buffer acids leading to a reduced CO2 uptake. This important contribution is unique to the North Atlantic. Diminished convective mixing and subduction of surface water can further decrease the downward transport of anthropogenic carbon, as also shown in previous research. The centennial trends of pCO2 are decomposed into four components driven by temperature, salinity, alkalinity and dissolved inorganic carbon, revealing that alkalinity and dissolved inorganic carbon are both significant contributors. The alkalinity-driven pCO2 essentially follows surface salinity, establishing the linkage between AMOC slowdown and alkalinity decline. Our results indicate that alkalinity changes are important for the interplay between AMOC and the regional carbon sequestration ability across the late 20th and the entirety of the 21st century in the subpolar North Atlantic.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1304193/fullAMOCalkalinitycarbon uptakeCMIP6climate changesubpolar North Atlantic
spellingShingle Qi Zhang
Takamitsu Ito
Annalisa Bracco
Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate
Frontiers in Marine Science
AMOC
alkalinity
carbon uptake
CMIP6
climate change
subpolar North Atlantic
title Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate
title_full Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate
title_fullStr Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate
title_full_unstemmed Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate
title_short Modulation of regional carbon uptake by AMOC and alkalinity changes in the subpolar North Atlantic under a warming climate
title_sort modulation of regional carbon uptake by amoc and alkalinity changes in the subpolar north atlantic under a warming climate
topic AMOC
alkalinity
carbon uptake
CMIP6
climate change
subpolar North Atlantic
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2024.1304193/full
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