Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities

Summary: The energy crisis in Europe requires cost-effective evaluations of residential heating strategies to reduce costs and mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. This research studied different heating systems in China and Europe. Based on heating energy surveys, simulation models were developed and...

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Main Authors: Fei Yu, Wei Feng, Maohui Luo, Kairui You, Minda Ma, Rui Jiang, Jiawei Leng, Liqun Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-09-01
Series:iScience
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004223016188
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author Fei Yu
Wei Feng
Maohui Luo
Kairui You
Minda Ma
Rui Jiang
Jiawei Leng
Liqun Sun
author_facet Fei Yu
Wei Feng
Maohui Luo
Kairui You
Minda Ma
Rui Jiang
Jiawei Leng
Liqun Sun
author_sort Fei Yu
collection DOAJ
description Summary: The energy crisis in Europe requires cost-effective evaluations of residential heating strategies to reduce costs and mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. This research studied different heating systems in China and Europe. Based on heating energy surveys, simulation models were developed and further expanded for European cities. Monte Carlo analyses were conducted to understand the heating demand and utility costs in Rome, Madrid, and Athens. The sensitivity analysis found that electrifying heating systems with heat pumps can reduce household heating costs and mitigate European cities’ dependence on natural gas. However, the high upfront investment may hinder the cost-effective deployment of high-performance heat pump systems. Building envelope retrofits can also provide plausible energy savings despite relatively long payback periods. Financial incentive analyses were conducted to quantify how fiscal measures can improve technologies’ techno-economic performance. Finally, the paper provided policy recommendations on future building cost-effective retrofits and heating electrification in Europe.
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spelling doaj.art-d7354ba7006645d2bc2d4ee5b25e677e2023-09-02T04:32:08ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422023-09-01269107541Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European citiesFei Yu0Wei Feng1Maohui Luo2Kairui You3Minda Ma4Rui Jiang5Jiawei Leng6Liqun Sun7Institute of Technology for Carbon Neutrality, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 1 Cyclotron Road, MS 90-2112, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA; Southeast University, Architecture Department, Nanjing 210008, China; Beijing University of Technology, Faculty of Architecture, Civil and Transportation Engineering, Beijing 100124, ChinaInstitute of Technology for Carbon Neutrality, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, China; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 1 Cyclotron Road, MS 90-2112, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA; Faculty of Materials Science and Energy Engineering, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China; Corresponding authorTongji University, School of Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai 201804, ChinaInstitute of Technology for Carbon Neutrality, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, ChinaLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 1 Cyclotron Road, MS 90-2112, Berkeley, CA 94720, USAInstitute of Technology for Carbon Neutrality, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, ChinaSoutheast University, Architecture Department, Nanjing 210008, China; Nanjing Urban Planning Design Institute of Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaInstitute of Technology for Carbon Neutrality, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen 518055, ChinaSummary: The energy crisis in Europe requires cost-effective evaluations of residential heating strategies to reduce costs and mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. This research studied different heating systems in China and Europe. Based on heating energy surveys, simulation models were developed and further expanded for European cities. Monte Carlo analyses were conducted to understand the heating demand and utility costs in Rome, Madrid, and Athens. The sensitivity analysis found that electrifying heating systems with heat pumps can reduce household heating costs and mitigate European cities’ dependence on natural gas. However, the high upfront investment may hinder the cost-effective deployment of high-performance heat pump systems. Building envelope retrofits can also provide plausible energy savings despite relatively long payback periods. Financial incentive analyses were conducted to quantify how fiscal measures can improve technologies’ techno-economic performance. Finally, the paper provided policy recommendations on future building cost-effective retrofits and heating electrification in Europe.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004223016188EngineeringEnergy engineeringMechanical engineering
spellingShingle Fei Yu
Wei Feng
Maohui Luo
Kairui You
Minda Ma
Rui Jiang
Jiawei Leng
Liqun Sun
Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities
iScience
Engineering
Energy engineering
Mechanical engineering
title Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities
title_full Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities
title_fullStr Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities
title_full_unstemmed Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities
title_short Techno-economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost-effective upgrades in European cities
title_sort techno economic analysis of residential building heating strategies for cost effective upgrades in european cities
topic Engineering
Energy engineering
Mechanical engineering
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004223016188
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