Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
The study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of 27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Serbian Geographical Society
2021-01-01
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Series: | Glasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0350-3593/2021/0350-35932102001G.pdf |
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author | Gnjato Slobodan Popov Tatjana Ivanišević Marko Trbić Goran |
author_facet | Gnjato Slobodan Popov Tatjana Ivanišević Marko Trbić Goran |
author_sort | Gnjato Slobodan |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and
Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum
temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of
27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change
Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) was calculated in the RClimDex (1.0)
software. Given the results, the extreme temperature indices displayed a
warming tendency throughout the year (most prominent in summer). The
positive trends in warm temperature indices were stronger than the downward
trends in cold ones. The highest trend values were estimated for TXx, TNx,
TX90p, TN90p, WSDI, SU25 and SU30. The extreme precipitation indices
displayed trends mixed in sign (annually and seasonally), but all
statistically insignificant. However, upward trends in R99p, RX1day, RX5day,
SDII, R10mm and R20mm suggest an increase in the magnitude and frequency of
intense precipitation events. Moreover, significant changes in distribution
of majority temperature indices were determined, whereas shifts in
precipitation indices were mostly insignificant. The observed changes in
extreme temperature indices are related with large-scale atmospheric
circulation patterns (primarily the East-Atlantic pattern) and the Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation. The negative correlation with the North Atlantic
Oscillation, the East Atlantic/West Russia pattern and the Arctic
Oscillation is found for majority of extreme precipitation indices. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-13T13:50:54Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-d756160db6ef48bd8f6e62bd8fae1b6e |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0350-3593 2406-078X |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-13T13:50:54Z |
publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
publisher | Serbian Geographical Society |
record_format | Article |
series | Glasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva |
spelling | doaj.art-d756160db6ef48bd8f6e62bd8fae1b6e2022-12-21T23:43:11ZengSerbian Geographical SocietyGlasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva0350-35932406-078X2021-01-01101212110.2298/GSGD2102001G0350-35932102001GChanges in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)Gnjato Slobodan0Popov Tatjana1Ivanišević Marko2Trbić Goran3University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaThe study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of 27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) was calculated in the RClimDex (1.0) software. Given the results, the extreme temperature indices displayed a warming tendency throughout the year (most prominent in summer). The positive trends in warm temperature indices were stronger than the downward trends in cold ones. The highest trend values were estimated for TXx, TNx, TX90p, TN90p, WSDI, SU25 and SU30. The extreme precipitation indices displayed trends mixed in sign (annually and seasonally), but all statistically insignificant. However, upward trends in R99p, RX1day, RX5day, SDII, R10mm and R20mm suggest an increase in the magnitude and frequency of intense precipitation events. Moreover, significant changes in distribution of majority temperature indices were determined, whereas shifts in precipitation indices were mostly insignificant. The observed changes in extreme temperature indices are related with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns (primarily the East-Atlantic pattern) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The negative correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation, the East Atlantic/West Russia pattern and the Arctic Oscillation is found for majority of extreme precipitation indices.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0350-3593/2021/0350-35932102001G.pdfextreme temperatures and precipitation indicestrendgeneralized extreme value distributionclimate changesarajevo (bosnia and herzegovina) |
spellingShingle | Gnjato Slobodan Popov Tatjana Ivanišević Marko Trbić Goran Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Glasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva extreme temperatures and precipitation indices trend generalized extreme value distribution climate change sarajevo (bosnia and herzegovina) |
title | Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) |
title_full | Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) |
title_fullStr | Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) |
title_full_unstemmed | Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) |
title_short | Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) |
title_sort | changes in extreme climate indices in sarajevo bosnia and herzegovina |
topic | extreme temperatures and precipitation indices trend generalized extreme value distribution climate change sarajevo (bosnia and herzegovina) |
url | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0350-3593/2021/0350-35932102001G.pdf |
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