Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

The study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of 27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change...

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Main Authors: Gnjato Slobodan, Popov Tatjana, Ivanišević Marko, Trbić Goran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Serbian Geographical Society 2021-01-01
Series:Glasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0350-3593/2021/0350-35932102001G.pdf
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author Gnjato Slobodan
Popov Tatjana
Ivanišević Marko
Trbić Goran
author_facet Gnjato Slobodan
Popov Tatjana
Ivanišević Marko
Trbić Goran
author_sort Gnjato Slobodan
collection DOAJ
description The study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of 27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) was calculated in the RClimDex (1.0) software. Given the results, the extreme temperature indices displayed a warming tendency throughout the year (most prominent in summer). The positive trends in warm temperature indices were stronger than the downward trends in cold ones. The highest trend values were estimated for TXx, TNx, TX90p, TN90p, WSDI, SU25 and SU30. The extreme precipitation indices displayed trends mixed in sign (annually and seasonally), but all statistically insignificant. However, upward trends in R99p, RX1day, RX5day, SDII, R10mm and R20mm suggest an increase in the magnitude and frequency of intense precipitation events. Moreover, significant changes in distribution of majority temperature indices were determined, whereas shifts in precipitation indices were mostly insignificant. The observed changes in extreme temperature indices are related with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns (primarily the East-Atlantic pattern) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The negative correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation, the East Atlantic/West Russia pattern and the Arctic Oscillation is found for majority of extreme precipitation indices.
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spelling doaj.art-d756160db6ef48bd8f6e62bd8fae1b6e2022-12-21T23:43:11ZengSerbian Geographical SocietyGlasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva0350-35932406-078X2021-01-01101212110.2298/GSGD2102001G0350-35932102001GChanges in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)Gnjato Slobodan0Popov Tatjana1Ivanišević Marko2Trbić Goran3University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Republic of Srpska, Bosnia and HerzegovinaThe study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of 27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) was calculated in the RClimDex (1.0) software. Given the results, the extreme temperature indices displayed a warming tendency throughout the year (most prominent in summer). The positive trends in warm temperature indices were stronger than the downward trends in cold ones. The highest trend values were estimated for TXx, TNx, TX90p, TN90p, WSDI, SU25 and SU30. The extreme precipitation indices displayed trends mixed in sign (annually and seasonally), but all statistically insignificant. However, upward trends in R99p, RX1day, RX5day, SDII, R10mm and R20mm suggest an increase in the magnitude and frequency of intense precipitation events. Moreover, significant changes in distribution of majority temperature indices were determined, whereas shifts in precipitation indices were mostly insignificant. The observed changes in extreme temperature indices are related with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns (primarily the East-Atlantic pattern) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The negative correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation, the East Atlantic/West Russia pattern and the Arctic Oscillation is found for majority of extreme precipitation indices.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0350-3593/2021/0350-35932102001G.pdfextreme temperatures and precipitation indicestrendgeneralized extreme value distributionclimate changesarajevo (bosnia and herzegovina)
spellingShingle Gnjato Slobodan
Popov Tatjana
Ivanišević Marko
Trbić Goran
Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Glasnik Srpskog Geografskog Društva
extreme temperatures and precipitation indices
trend
generalized extreme value distribution
climate change
sarajevo (bosnia and herzegovina)
title Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
title_full Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
title_fullStr Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
title_full_unstemmed Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
title_short Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
title_sort changes in extreme climate indices in sarajevo bosnia and herzegovina
topic extreme temperatures and precipitation indices
trend
generalized extreme value distribution
climate change
sarajevo (bosnia and herzegovina)
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0350-3593/2021/0350-35932102001G.pdf
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