Management and reliability of construction programs

The paper proposes a special kind of function of beta probability density distribution of the random variable to estimate probability of execution of the construction program in full and within the given timeframe. This function allows us to consider the impact of the effectiveness of the control sy...

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Main Author: V.Z. Velichkin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University 2014-11-01
Series:Инженерно-строительный журнал
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.engstroy.spb.ru/eng/index_2014_07/10.html
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author V.Z. Velichkin
author_facet V.Z. Velichkin
author_sort V.Z. Velichkin
collection DOAJ
description The paper proposes a special kind of function of beta probability density distribution of the random variable to estimate probability of execution of the construction program in full and within the given timeframe. This function allows us to consider the impact of the effectiveness of the control system on the probability of the program execution in time. To achieve a high level of reliability of the realization of the construction program (at least 0.9 ), the strategies for performance of preliminary requirements for management system, accounting reserves of time and building structural redundancy in the organization of construction were proposed. Examples of the corresponding estimates are given.
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spelling doaj.art-d76e1568fc8e44ebb876cd47df6e5c6b2022-12-21T22:48:34ZengPeter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic UniversityИнженерно-строительный журнал2071-47262071-03052014-11-01517747910.5862/MCE.51.9Management and reliability of construction programsV.Z. Velichkin0St-Petersburg Polytechnic UniversityThe paper proposes a special kind of function of beta probability density distribution of the random variable to estimate probability of execution of the construction program in full and within the given timeframe. This function allows us to consider the impact of the effectiveness of the control system on the probability of the program execution in time. To achieve a high level of reliability of the realization of the construction program (at least 0.9 ), the strategies for performance of preliminary requirements for management system, accounting reserves of time and building structural redundancy in the organization of construction were proposed. Examples of the corresponding estimates are given.http://www.engstroy.spb.ru/eng/index_2014_07/10.htmlprobability of program executionthe probability valueschedulereliabilityparameter controlpayment termstime reservesrisksstructural redundancymanagement efficiency
spellingShingle V.Z. Velichkin
Management and reliability of construction programs
Инженерно-строительный журнал
probability of program execution
the probability value
schedule
reliability
parameter control
payment terms
time reserves
risks
structural redundancy
management efficiency
title Management and reliability of construction programs
title_full Management and reliability of construction programs
title_fullStr Management and reliability of construction programs
title_full_unstemmed Management and reliability of construction programs
title_short Management and reliability of construction programs
title_sort management and reliability of construction programs
topic probability of program execution
the probability value
schedule
reliability
parameter control
payment terms
time reserves
risks
structural redundancy
management efficiency
url http://www.engstroy.spb.ru/eng/index_2014_07/10.html
work_keys_str_mv AT vzvelichkin managementandreliabilityofconstructionprograms