Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study

Objectives To quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy in Chile categorised by rural and urban areas, and to correlate life expectancy changes with socioeconomic factors at the municipal level.Design Retrospective cross-sectional demographic analysis using aggregated national...

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Main Authors: José Manuel Aburto, Gonzalo Mena
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2022-08-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/8/e059201.full
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author José Manuel Aburto
Gonzalo Mena
author_facet José Manuel Aburto
Gonzalo Mena
author_sort José Manuel Aburto
collection DOAJ
description Objectives To quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy in Chile categorised by rural and urban areas, and to correlate life expectancy changes with socioeconomic factors at the municipal level.Design Retrospective cross-sectional demographic analysis using aggregated national all-cause death data stratified by year, sex and municipality during the period 2010–2020.Setting and population Chilean population by age, sex and municipality from 2002 to 2020.Main outcome measures Stratified mortality rates using a Bayesian methodology. These were based on vital and demographic statistics from the national institute of statistics and department of vital statistics of ministry of health. With this, we assessed the unequal impact of the pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across Chilean municipalities for males and females and analysed previous mortality trends since 2010.Results Life expectancy declined for both males and females in 2020 compared with 2019. Urban areas were the most affected, with males losing 1.89 years and females 1.33 years. The strength of the decline in life expectancy correlated positively with indicators of social deprivation and poverty. Also, inequality in life expectancy between municipalities increased, largely due to excess mortality among the working-age population in socially disadvantaged municipalities.Conclusions Not only do people in poorer areas live shorter lives, they also have been substantially more affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to increased population health inequalities. Quantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy provides a more comprehensive picture of the toll.
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spelling doaj.art-d77e0b6aafcf4d48812a938a34cbbbac2022-12-22T02:18:34ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552022-08-0112810.1136/bmjopen-2021-059201Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic studyJosé Manuel Aburto0Gonzalo Mena1Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Department of Sociology and Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKDepartment of Statistics, Oxford University, Oxford, UKObjectives To quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy in Chile categorised by rural and urban areas, and to correlate life expectancy changes with socioeconomic factors at the municipal level.Design Retrospective cross-sectional demographic analysis using aggregated national all-cause death data stratified by year, sex and municipality during the period 2010–2020.Setting and population Chilean population by age, sex and municipality from 2002 to 2020.Main outcome measures Stratified mortality rates using a Bayesian methodology. These were based on vital and demographic statistics from the national institute of statistics and department of vital statistics of ministry of health. With this, we assessed the unequal impact of the pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across Chilean municipalities for males and females and analysed previous mortality trends since 2010.Results Life expectancy declined for both males and females in 2020 compared with 2019. Urban areas were the most affected, with males losing 1.89 years and females 1.33 years. The strength of the decline in life expectancy correlated positively with indicators of social deprivation and poverty. Also, inequality in life expectancy between municipalities increased, largely due to excess mortality among the working-age population in socially disadvantaged municipalities.Conclusions Not only do people in poorer areas live shorter lives, they also have been substantially more affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to increased population health inequalities. Quantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy provides a more comprehensive picture of the toll.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/8/e059201.full
spellingShingle José Manuel Aburto
Gonzalo Mena
Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study
BMJ Open
title Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study
title_full Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study
title_fullStr Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study
title_full_unstemmed Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study
title_short Unequal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in Chile: a cross-sectional demographic study
title_sort unequal impact of the covid 19 pandemic in 2020 on life expectancy across urban areas in chile a cross sectional demographic study
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/8/e059201.full
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