Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples

Efficacy estimations in clinical trials are based on case definitions. Commonly, they are a more or less complex set of conditions that have to be fulfilled in order to define a clinical case. In the simplest variant, such a case is identical with a single positive diagnostic test result. Frequently...

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Main Authors: Andreas Hahn, Hagen Frickmann, Andreas E. Zautner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Antibiotics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-6382/9/7/379
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author Andreas Hahn
Hagen Frickmann
Andreas E. Zautner
author_facet Andreas Hahn
Hagen Frickmann
Andreas E. Zautner
author_sort Andreas Hahn
collection DOAJ
description Efficacy estimations in clinical trials are based on case definitions. Commonly, they are a more or less complex set of conditions that have to be fulfilled in order to define a clinical case. In the simplest variant, such a case is identical with a single positive diagnostic test result. Frequently, however, case definitions are more complex. Further, their conditions often ignore the inherent logical structure of symptoms and disease: A symptom or a set of symptoms may be necessary but not sufficient for the unambiguous identification of a case. After describing the structure of case definitions and its impact on efficacy estimations, we exemplify this impact using data from two clinical trials dealing with the effectiveness of the vaginal application of tenofovir gel for the prevention of HIV infections and with the therapeutic effects of fecal transplantation on recurrent <i>Clostridium difficile</i> infections. We demonstrate that the diagnostic performance of case definitions affects efficacy estimations for interventions in clinical trials. The potential risk of bias and uncertainty is high, irrespective of the complexity of the case definition. Accordingly, case definitions in clinical trials should focus on specificity in order to avoid the risk of bias.
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spelling doaj.art-d7bd4f9c286648fc85b12c42cd75ac2c2023-11-20T05:52:13ZengMDPI AGAntibiotics2079-63822020-07-019737910.3390/antibiotics9070379Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical ExamplesAndreas Hahn0Hagen Frickmann1Andreas E. Zautner2Institute for Medical Microbiology, Virology and Hygiene, University Medicine Rostock, 18057 Rostock, GermanyInstitute for Medical Microbiology, Virology and Hygiene, University Medicine Rostock, 18057 Rostock, GermanyInstitut für Medizinische Mikrobiologie, Universitätsmedizin Göttingen, 37075 Göttingen, GermanyEfficacy estimations in clinical trials are based on case definitions. Commonly, they are a more or less complex set of conditions that have to be fulfilled in order to define a clinical case. In the simplest variant, such a case is identical with a single positive diagnostic test result. Frequently, however, case definitions are more complex. Further, their conditions often ignore the inherent logical structure of symptoms and disease: A symptom or a set of symptoms may be necessary but not sufficient for the unambiguous identification of a case. After describing the structure of case definitions and its impact on efficacy estimations, we exemplify this impact using data from two clinical trials dealing with the effectiveness of the vaginal application of tenofovir gel for the prevention of HIV infections and with the therapeutic effects of fecal transplantation on recurrent <i>Clostridium difficile</i> infections. We demonstrate that the diagnostic performance of case definitions affects efficacy estimations for interventions in clinical trials. The potential risk of bias and uncertainty is high, irrespective of the complexity of the case definition. Accordingly, case definitions in clinical trials should focus on specificity in order to avoid the risk of bias.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-6382/9/7/379efficacy estimationcase definitionspecificityclinical trial
spellingShingle Andreas Hahn
Hagen Frickmann
Andreas E. Zautner
Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples
Antibiotics
efficacy estimation
case definition
specificity
clinical trial
title Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples
title_full Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples
title_fullStr Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples
title_short Impact of Case Definitions on Efficacy Estimation in Clinical Trials—A Proof-of-Principle Based on Historical Examples
title_sort impact of case definitions on efficacy estimation in clinical trials a proof of principle based on historical examples
topic efficacy estimation
case definition
specificity
clinical trial
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-6382/9/7/379
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