Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study

Climate change due to the greenhouse effect will affect meteorological variables, which in turn will affect the demand for electrical energy and its generation in coming years. These impacts will become increasingly important in accordance with the increasing penetration of renewable, non-programmab...

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Main Authors: Giuseppe Marco Tina, Claudio F. Nicolosi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/24/11821
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author Giuseppe Marco Tina
Claudio F. Nicolosi
author_facet Giuseppe Marco Tina
Claudio F. Nicolosi
author_sort Giuseppe Marco Tina
collection DOAJ
description Climate change due to the greenhouse effect will affect meteorological variables, which in turn will affect the demand for electrical energy and its generation in coming years. These impacts will become increasingly important in accordance with the increasing penetration of renewable, non-programmable energy sources (e.g., wind and solar). Specifically, the speed and amplitude of power system transformation will be different from one country to another according to many endogenous and exogenous factors. Based on a literature review, this paper focuses on the impact of climate change on the current, and future, Italian power system. The paper shows a wide range of results, due not just to the adopted climate change models used, but also to the models used to assess the impact of meteorological variables on electricity generation and demand. Analyzing and interpreting the reasons for such differences in the model results is crucial to perform more detailed numerical analyses on the adequacy and reliability of power systems. Concerning Italian future scenarios, the double impact of uncertainties in national policies and changes in power plant productivity and demand, has been considered and addressed.
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spelling doaj.art-d83272773dc9413697fe9370931fec1a2023-11-23T03:38:53ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172021-12-0111241182110.3390/app112411821Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case StudyGiuseppe Marco Tina0Claudio F. Nicolosi1Department of Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering (DIEEI), University of Catania, Viale Andrea Doria n.6, 95125 Catania, ItalyDepartment of Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering (DIEEI), University of Catania, Viale Andrea Doria n.6, 95125 Catania, ItalyClimate change due to the greenhouse effect will affect meteorological variables, which in turn will affect the demand for electrical energy and its generation in coming years. These impacts will become increasingly important in accordance with the increasing penetration of renewable, non-programmable energy sources (e.g., wind and solar). Specifically, the speed and amplitude of power system transformation will be different from one country to another according to many endogenous and exogenous factors. Based on a literature review, this paper focuses on the impact of climate change on the current, and future, Italian power system. The paper shows a wide range of results, due not just to the adopted climate change models used, but also to the models used to assess the impact of meteorological variables on electricity generation and demand. Analyzing and interpreting the reasons for such differences in the model results is crucial to perform more detailed numerical analyses on the adequacy and reliability of power systems. Concerning Italian future scenarios, the double impact of uncertainties in national policies and changes in power plant productivity and demand, has been considered and addressed.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/24/11821climate changepower systemswindsolar PVthermohydro
spellingShingle Giuseppe Marco Tina
Claudio F. Nicolosi
Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study
Applied Sciences
climate change
power systems
wind
solar PV
thermo
hydro
title Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study
title_full Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study
title_fullStr Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study
title_short Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Power Systems: The Italian Case Study
title_sort assessment of the impacts of climate change on power systems the italian case study
topic climate change
power systems
wind
solar PV
thermo
hydro
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/24/11821
work_keys_str_mv AT giuseppemarcotina assessmentoftheimpactsofclimatechangeonpowersystemstheitaliancasestudy
AT claudiofnicolosi assessmentoftheimpactsofclimatechangeonpowersystemstheitaliancasestudy