Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.

Universal access to first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV infection is becoming more of a reality in most low and middle income countries in Asia. However, second-line therapies are relatively scarce.We developed a mathematical model of an HIV epidemic in a Southeast Asian setting and used...

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Main Authors: Alexander Hoare, Stephen J Kerr, Kiat Ruxrungtham, Jintanat Ananworanich, Matthew G Law, David A Cooper, Praphan Phanuphak, David P Wilson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2010-06-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2882328?pdf=render
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author Alexander Hoare
Stephen J Kerr
Kiat Ruxrungtham
Jintanat Ananworanich
Matthew G Law
David A Cooper
Praphan Phanuphak
David P Wilson
author_facet Alexander Hoare
Stephen J Kerr
Kiat Ruxrungtham
Jintanat Ananworanich
Matthew G Law
David A Cooper
Praphan Phanuphak
David P Wilson
author_sort Alexander Hoare
collection DOAJ
description Universal access to first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV infection is becoming more of a reality in most low and middle income countries in Asia. However, second-line therapies are relatively scarce.We developed a mathematical model of an HIV epidemic in a Southeast Asian setting and used it to forecast the impact of treatment plans, without second-line options, on the potential degree of acquisition and transmission of drug resistant HIV strains. We show that after 10 years of universal treatment access, up to 20% of treatment-naïve individuals with HIV may have drug-resistant strains but it depends on the relative fitness of viral strains.If viral load testing of people on ART is carried out on a yearly basis and virological failure leads to effective second-line therapy, then transmitted drug resistance could be reduced by 80%. Greater efforts are required for minimizing first-line failure, to detect virological failure earlier, and to procure access to second-line therapies.
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spelling doaj.art-d8babe41e2ae4a06a5ed57a02cde5e902022-12-22T01:08:38ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032010-06-0156e1098110.1371/journal.pone.0010981Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.Alexander HoareStephen J KerrKiat RuxrungthamJintanat AnanworanichMatthew G LawDavid A CooperPraphan PhanuphakDavid P WilsonUniversal access to first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV infection is becoming more of a reality in most low and middle income countries in Asia. However, second-line therapies are relatively scarce.We developed a mathematical model of an HIV epidemic in a Southeast Asian setting and used it to forecast the impact of treatment plans, without second-line options, on the potential degree of acquisition and transmission of drug resistant HIV strains. We show that after 10 years of universal treatment access, up to 20% of treatment-naïve individuals with HIV may have drug-resistant strains but it depends on the relative fitness of viral strains.If viral load testing of people on ART is carried out on a yearly basis and virological failure leads to effective second-line therapy, then transmitted drug resistance could be reduced by 80%. Greater efforts are required for minimizing first-line failure, to detect virological failure earlier, and to procure access to second-line therapies.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2882328?pdf=render
spellingShingle Alexander Hoare
Stephen J Kerr
Kiat Ruxrungtham
Jintanat Ananworanich
Matthew G Law
David A Cooper
Praphan Phanuphak
David P Wilson
Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.
PLoS ONE
title Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.
title_full Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.
title_fullStr Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.
title_full_unstemmed Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.
title_short Hidden drug resistant HIV to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in Southeast Asia.
title_sort hidden drug resistant hiv to emerge in the era of universal treatment access in southeast asia
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2882328?pdf=render
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