Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities

The Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident caused an accumulation of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment. The <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers to the ocean can affect the long-term fate of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment. Since the Fukushima coast...

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Main Authors: Tsubasa Ikenoue, Hikari Shimadera, Takahiro Nakanishi, Akira Kondo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/15/2734
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author Tsubasa Ikenoue
Hikari Shimadera
Takahiro Nakanishi
Akira Kondo
author_facet Tsubasa Ikenoue
Hikari Shimadera
Takahiro Nakanishi
Akira Kondo
author_sort Tsubasa Ikenoue
collection DOAJ
description The Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident caused an accumulation of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment. The <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers to the ocean can affect the long-term fate of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment. Since the Fukushima coastal river basins include large decontaminated and evacuation order areas, considering the decontamination work and resumption of agriculture is important for predicting the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply. We conducted a 30-year prediction of the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from the Fukushima coastal rivers to the ocean using a distributed radiocesium prediction model, considering the effects of human activities. In river basins with decontaminated and evacuation order areas, human activities reduced the total <sup>137</sup>Cs outflow from agricultural lands, urban lands, and forest areas to the rivers and the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply to the ocean by 5.0% and 6.0%, respectively. These results indicated that human activities slightly impacted the <sup>137</sup>Cs outflow and supply. The <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers impacted by the accident to the coastal sediment was estimated to correspond to 11–36% of the total <sup>137</sup>Cs in the coastal sediment in the early phase of the accident. Therefore, the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers to the ocean is important for the long-term behavior of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment.
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spelling doaj.art-d8d4098618c0492eafe96661f688139b2023-11-18T23:46:59ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-07-011515273410.3390/w15152734Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human ActivitiesTsubasa Ikenoue0Hikari Shimadera1Takahiro Nakanishi2Akira Kondo3Nuclear Science Research Institute, Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Ibaraki 319-1195, JapanDivision of Sustainable Energy and Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Osaka University, Suita Campus, Yamadaoka 2-1, Osaka 565-0871, JapanNuclear Science Research Institute, Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Ibaraki 319-1195, JapanDivision of Sustainable Energy and Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Osaka University, Suita Campus, Yamadaoka 2-1, Osaka 565-0871, JapanThe Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident caused an accumulation of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment. The <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers to the ocean can affect the long-term fate of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment. Since the Fukushima coastal river basins include large decontaminated and evacuation order areas, considering the decontamination work and resumption of agriculture is important for predicting the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply. We conducted a 30-year prediction of the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from the Fukushima coastal rivers to the ocean using a distributed radiocesium prediction model, considering the effects of human activities. In river basins with decontaminated and evacuation order areas, human activities reduced the total <sup>137</sup>Cs outflow from agricultural lands, urban lands, and forest areas to the rivers and the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply to the ocean by 5.0% and 6.0%, respectively. These results indicated that human activities slightly impacted the <sup>137</sup>Cs outflow and supply. The <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers impacted by the accident to the coastal sediment was estimated to correspond to 11–36% of the total <sup>137</sup>Cs in the coastal sediment in the early phase of the accident. Therefore, the <sup>137</sup>Cs supply from rivers to the ocean is important for the long-term behavior of <sup>137</sup>Cs in coastal sediment.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/15/2734<sup>137</sup>Cs transportsediment transportFukushima nuclear accidentlong-term simulationdecontaminationresumption of agriculture
spellingShingle Tsubasa Ikenoue
Hikari Shimadera
Takahiro Nakanishi
Akira Kondo
Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities
Water
<sup>137</sup>Cs transport
sediment transport
Fukushima nuclear accident
long-term simulation
decontamination
resumption of agriculture
title Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities
title_full Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities
title_fullStr Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities
title_full_unstemmed Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities
title_short Thirty-Year Prediction of <sup>137</sup>Cs Supply from Rivers to Coastal Waters off Fukushima Considering Human Activities
title_sort thirty year prediction of sup 137 sup cs supply from rivers to coastal waters off fukushima considering human activities
topic <sup>137</sup>Cs transport
sediment transport
Fukushima nuclear accident
long-term simulation
decontamination
resumption of agriculture
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/15/2734
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AT hikarishimadera thirtyyearpredictionofsup137supcssupplyfromriverstocoastalwatersofffukushimaconsideringhumanactivities
AT takahironakanishi thirtyyearpredictionofsup137supcssupplyfromriverstocoastalwatersofffukushimaconsideringhumanactivities
AT akirakondo thirtyyearpredictionofsup137supcssupplyfromriverstocoastalwatersofffukushimaconsideringhumanactivities