Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty

<p><strong>Purpose:</strong> The purpose of our paper is to analyze optimal purchasing strategies when a manufacturer can buy raw materials from a long-term contract supplier and a spot market under spot price uncertainty.</p> <p><strong>Design/methodology/approac...

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Main Authors: Qiao Wu, Andy Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: OmniaScience 2015-09-01
Series:Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jiem.org/index.php/jiem/article/view/1289
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author Qiao Wu
Andy Chen
author_facet Qiao Wu
Andy Chen
author_sort Qiao Wu
collection DOAJ
description <p><strong>Purpose:</strong> The purpose of our paper is to analyze optimal purchasing strategies when a manufacturer can buy raw materials from a long-term contract supplier and a spot market under spot price uncertainty.</p> <p><strong>Design/methodology/approach:</strong> This procurement model can be solved by using dynamic programming. First, we maximize the DM’s utility of the second period, obtaining the optimal contract quantity and spot quantity for the second period. Then, maximize the DM’s utility of both periods, obtaining the optimal purchasing strategy for the first period. We use a numerical method to compare the performance level of a pure spot sourcing strategy with that of a mixed strategy.</p> <p><strong>Findings:</strong> Our results show that optimal purchasing strategies vary with the trend of contract prices. If the contract price falls, the total quantity purchased in period 1 will decrease in the degree of risk aversion. If the contract price increases, the total quantity purchased in period 1 will increase in the degree of risk aversion. The relationship between the optimal contract quantity and the degree of risk aversion depends on whether the expected spot price or the contract price is larger in period 2. Finally, we compare the performance levels between a combined strategy and a spot sourcing strategy. It shows that a combined strategy is optimal for a risk-averse buyer.</p> <p><strong> </strong></p> <p><strong>Originality/value:</strong> It’s challenging to deal with a two-period procurement problem with risk consideration. We have obtained results of a two-period procurement problem with two sourcing options, namely contract procurement and spot purchases. Our model incorporates the buyer’s risk aversion factor and the change of contract prices, which are not addressed in early studies.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-d9330440c3214325bf2d92060a7888e82022-12-22T02:20:00ZengOmniaScienceJournal of Industrial Engineering and Management2013-84232013-09532015-09-01841087110210.3926/jiem.1289378Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertaintyQiao Wu0Andy Chen1Zhejiang Wanli UniversityZhejiang University<p><strong>Purpose:</strong> The purpose of our paper is to analyze optimal purchasing strategies when a manufacturer can buy raw materials from a long-term contract supplier and a spot market under spot price uncertainty.</p> <p><strong>Design/methodology/approach:</strong> This procurement model can be solved by using dynamic programming. First, we maximize the DM’s utility of the second period, obtaining the optimal contract quantity and spot quantity for the second period. Then, maximize the DM’s utility of both periods, obtaining the optimal purchasing strategy for the first period. We use a numerical method to compare the performance level of a pure spot sourcing strategy with that of a mixed strategy.</p> <p><strong>Findings:</strong> Our results show that optimal purchasing strategies vary with the trend of contract prices. If the contract price falls, the total quantity purchased in period 1 will decrease in the degree of risk aversion. If the contract price increases, the total quantity purchased in period 1 will increase in the degree of risk aversion. The relationship between the optimal contract quantity and the degree of risk aversion depends on whether the expected spot price or the contract price is larger in period 2. Finally, we compare the performance levels between a combined strategy and a spot sourcing strategy. It shows that a combined strategy is optimal for a risk-averse buyer.</p> <p><strong> </strong></p> <p><strong>Originality/value:</strong> It’s challenging to deal with a two-period procurement problem with risk consideration. We have obtained results of a two-period procurement problem with two sourcing options, namely contract procurement and spot purchases. Our model incorporates the buyer’s risk aversion factor and the change of contract prices, which are not addressed in early studies.</p>http://www.jiem.org/index.php/jiem/article/view/1289price risk, risk aversion, spot market, combined strategy
spellingShingle Qiao Wu
Andy Chen
Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management
price risk, risk aversion, spot market, combined strategy
title Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
title_full Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
title_fullStr Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
title_short Optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk-averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
title_sort optimal combined purchasing strategies for a risk averse manufacturer under price uncertainty
topic price risk, risk aversion, spot market, combined strategy
url http://www.jiem.org/index.php/jiem/article/view/1289
work_keys_str_mv AT qiaowu optimalcombinedpurchasingstrategiesforariskaversemanufacturerunderpriceuncertainty
AT andychen optimalcombinedpurchasingstrategiesforariskaversemanufacturerunderpriceuncertainty