Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia

The severe tensions between conservation and development are illustrated by events in Malinau Dstrict (Kalimantan, Indonesia). Conservationists decry proposed plans for logging and conversion of pristine tropical forest to oil palm (Elaeis guineensis). Although the local government is willing to dec...

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Main Authors: Marieke Sandker, Aritta Suwarno, Bruce M. Campbell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Resilience Alliance 2007-12-01
Series:Ecology and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol12/iss2/art37/
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author Marieke Sandker
Aritta Suwarno
Bruce M. Campbell
author_facet Marieke Sandker
Aritta Suwarno
Bruce M. Campbell
author_sort Marieke Sandker
collection DOAJ
description The severe tensions between conservation and development are illustrated by events in Malinau Dstrict (Kalimantan, Indonesia). Conservationists decry proposed plans for logging and conversion of pristine tropical forest to oil palm (Elaeis guineensis). Although the local government is willing to declare the district a "conservation district," at the same time, it shows interest in oil palm conversion. This article explores the impact of the potential conversion of 500 000 ha of forest to oil palm on forest cover, in-migration, and the local economy in Malinau. The simulation model was developed using STELLA® software, and relies on a combination of empirical data, data from the literature, and stakeholder perceptions. If a company were to clear the forest for timber without planting oil palm (as commonly happens), poverty levels are likely to rise rather than decline over the long term. If large-scale oil palm plantations were to be established, they could yield significant benefits to local authorities. However, such development would induce massive employment-driven migration, with wide-ranging consequences for the current inhabitants of the region. By visualizing and quantifying these trade-offs between conservation and development, the model stimulates debate and information exchange among conservationists, development actors, and district authorities so that well-informed choices can be made.
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spelling doaj.art-d942db420b3a41f98b20ddd45d2a57132022-12-21T19:28:27ZengResilience AllianceEcology and Society1708-30872007-12-011223710.5751/ES-02292-1202372292Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, IndonesiaMarieke Sandker0Aritta Suwarno1Bruce M. Campbell2Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR)Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR)Charles Darwin University (CDU)The severe tensions between conservation and development are illustrated by events in Malinau Dstrict (Kalimantan, Indonesia). Conservationists decry proposed plans for logging and conversion of pristine tropical forest to oil palm (Elaeis guineensis). Although the local government is willing to declare the district a "conservation district," at the same time, it shows interest in oil palm conversion. This article explores the impact of the potential conversion of 500 000 ha of forest to oil palm on forest cover, in-migration, and the local economy in Malinau. The simulation model was developed using STELLA® software, and relies on a combination of empirical data, data from the literature, and stakeholder perceptions. If a company were to clear the forest for timber without planting oil palm (as commonly happens), poverty levels are likely to rise rather than decline over the long term. If large-scale oil palm plantations were to be established, they could yield significant benefits to local authorities. However, such development would induce massive employment-driven migration, with wide-ranging consequences for the current inhabitants of the region. By visualizing and quantifying these trade-offs between conservation and development, the model stimulates debate and information exchange among conservationists, development actors, and district authorities so that well-informed choices can be made.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol12/iss2/art37/Decentralizationdistrict revenueforest coverlandscape dynamicslivelihoodsoil palmparticipatory modelprimary forest
spellingShingle Marieke Sandker
Aritta Suwarno
Bruce M. Campbell
Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia
Ecology and Society
Decentralization
district revenue
forest cover
landscape dynamics
livelihoods
oil palm
participatory model
primary forest
title Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia
title_full Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia
title_fullStr Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia
title_short Will Forests Remain in the Face of Oil Palm Expansion? Simulating Change in Malinau, Indonesia
title_sort will forests remain in the face of oil palm expansion simulating change in malinau indonesia
topic Decentralization
district revenue
forest cover
landscape dynamics
livelihoods
oil palm
participatory model
primary forest
url http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol12/iss2/art37/
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