Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico

Land subsidence in the Aguascalientes Valley, documented since the 1980s, has developed a large number of discontinuities that damage infrastructure. There is currently no methodology to accurately predict the site and time at which a discontinuity will occur, making it difficult to make decisions i...

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Main Authors: Hugo Luna-Villavicencio, Jesús Pacheco-Martínez, Gil H. Ochoa-González, Martín Hernández-Marín, Victor M. Hernández-Madrigal, Rubén A. López-Doncel, Isaí G. Reyes-Cedeño
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/10/2597
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author Hugo Luna-Villavicencio
Jesús Pacheco-Martínez
Gil H. Ochoa-González
Martín Hernández-Marín
Victor M. Hernández-Madrigal
Rubén A. López-Doncel
Isaí G. Reyes-Cedeño
author_facet Hugo Luna-Villavicencio
Jesús Pacheco-Martínez
Gil H. Ochoa-González
Martín Hernández-Marín
Victor M. Hernández-Madrigal
Rubén A. López-Doncel
Isaí G. Reyes-Cedeño
author_sort Hugo Luna-Villavicencio
collection DOAJ
description Land subsidence in the Aguascalientes Valley, documented since the 1980s, has developed a large number of discontinuities that damage infrastructure. There is currently no methodology to accurately predict the site and time at which a discontinuity will occur, making it difficult to make decisions in urban planning or risk management. However, it is possible to determine the susceptibility of an area to the generation of fractures based on the factors associated with their formation. This study presents a zoning method based on the ground failure susceptibility index (GFSI) in the city of Aguascalientes, using the frequency ratio (FR) method and employing the depth of the basement, the subsidence rate, the subsidence gradient, and the groundwater level drawdown as variables. The zoning method included three categories of land subsidence susceptibility to fracturing, moderate, high, and very high, which were divided using the first (3.76) and second (4.24) quartiles of the GFSI. The zoning method was created with the discontinuities reported in 2010 and was validated with data from 2022. The results obtained show that 11.19% of the discontinuities developed between 2010 and 2022 were located in a zone of moderate susceptibility, 41.97% were located in a zone of high susceptibility, and 46.87% were located in a zone classified as having very high susceptibility.
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spelling doaj.art-d9a73996bb5d4f12bbf5bc01baa1fe8f2023-11-18T03:07:25ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922023-05-011510259710.3390/rs15102597Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, MexicoHugo Luna-Villavicencio0Jesús Pacheco-Martínez1Gil H. Ochoa-González2Martín Hernández-Marín3Victor M. Hernández-Madrigal4Rubén A. López-Doncel5Isaí G. Reyes-Cedeño6Doctorado en Ciencias de los Ámbitos Antrópicos, Departamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad Autónoma de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes 20100, MexicoDepartamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad Autónoma de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes 20100, MexicoDepartamento de Hábitat y Desarrollo Urbano, Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Occidente, San Pedro Tlaquepaque 45604, MexicoDepartamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad Autónoma de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes 20100, Mexico Instituto de Investigación de Ciencias de la Tierra, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Morelia 58060, MexicoInstituto de Geología, Universidad Autónoma de San Luis Potosí, San Luis Potosí 78760, MexicoDoctorado en Ciencias de los Ámbitos Antrópicos, Departamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad Autónoma de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes 20100, MexicoLand subsidence in the Aguascalientes Valley, documented since the 1980s, has developed a large number of discontinuities that damage infrastructure. There is currently no methodology to accurately predict the site and time at which a discontinuity will occur, making it difficult to make decisions in urban planning or risk management. However, it is possible to determine the susceptibility of an area to the generation of fractures based on the factors associated with their formation. This study presents a zoning method based on the ground failure susceptibility index (GFSI) in the city of Aguascalientes, using the frequency ratio (FR) method and employing the depth of the basement, the subsidence rate, the subsidence gradient, and the groundwater level drawdown as variables. The zoning method included three categories of land subsidence susceptibility to fracturing, moderate, high, and very high, which were divided using the first (3.76) and second (4.24) quartiles of the GFSI. The zoning method was created with the discontinuities reported in 2010 and was validated with data from 2022. The results obtained show that 11.19% of the discontinuities developed between 2010 and 2022 were located in a zone of moderate susceptibility, 41.97% were located in a zone of high susceptibility, and 46.87% were located in a zone classified as having very high susceptibility.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/10/2597ground failuremap susceptibilityland subsidencefrequency ratioAguascalientes Valley
spellingShingle Hugo Luna-Villavicencio
Jesús Pacheco-Martínez
Gil H. Ochoa-González
Martín Hernández-Marín
Victor M. Hernández-Madrigal
Rubén A. López-Doncel
Isaí G. Reyes-Cedeño
Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico
Remote Sensing
ground failure
map susceptibility
land subsidence
frequency ratio
Aguascalientes Valley
title Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico
title_full Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico
title_fullStr Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico
title_short Determination of Susceptibility to the Generation of Discontinuities Related to Land Subsidence Using the Frequency Ratio Method in the City of Aguascalientes, Mexico
title_sort determination of susceptibility to the generation of discontinuities related to land subsidence using the frequency ratio method in the city of aguascalientes mexico
topic ground failure
map susceptibility
land subsidence
frequency ratio
Aguascalientes Valley
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/10/2597
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