Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks.
Critical transitions of complex systems can often be predicted by so-called early-warning signals (EWS). In some cases, however, such signals cannot be detected although a critical transition is imminent. Observing a relation of EWS-detectability and the network topology in which the system is imple...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2017-01-01
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Series: | PLoS ONE |
Online Access: | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5734744?pdf=render |
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author | Georg Jäger Christian Hofer Marie Kapeller Manfred Füllsack |
author_facet | Georg Jäger Christian Hofer Marie Kapeller Manfred Füllsack |
author_sort | Georg Jäger |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Critical transitions of complex systems can often be predicted by so-called early-warning signals (EWS). In some cases, however, such signals cannot be detected although a critical transition is imminent. Observing a relation of EWS-detectability and the network topology in which the system is implemented, we simulate and investigate scale-free networks and identify which networks show, and which do not show EWS in the framework of a two state system that exhibits critical transitions. Additionally, we adapt our approach by examining the effective state of the system, rather than its natural state, and conclude that this transformation can reveal hidden EWS in networks where those signals are otherwise obscured by a complex topology. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-11T14:04:24Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-da20121c1cd14ee0bdd306a0a54a790a |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1932-6203 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-11T14:04:24Z |
publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
record_format | Article |
series | PLoS ONE |
spelling | doaj.art-da20121c1cd14ee0bdd306a0a54a790a2022-12-22T01:03:43ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032017-01-011212e018985310.1371/journal.pone.0189853Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks.Georg JägerChristian HoferMarie KapellerManfred FüllsackCritical transitions of complex systems can often be predicted by so-called early-warning signals (EWS). In some cases, however, such signals cannot be detected although a critical transition is imminent. Observing a relation of EWS-detectability and the network topology in which the system is implemented, we simulate and investigate scale-free networks and identify which networks show, and which do not show EWS in the framework of a two state system that exhibits critical transitions. Additionally, we adapt our approach by examining the effective state of the system, rather than its natural state, and conclude that this transformation can reveal hidden EWS in networks where those signals are otherwise obscured by a complex topology.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5734744?pdf=render |
spellingShingle | Georg Jäger Christian Hofer Marie Kapeller Manfred Füllsack Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks. PLoS ONE |
title | Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks. |
title_full | Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks. |
title_fullStr | Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks. |
title_full_unstemmed | Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks. |
title_short | Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks. |
title_sort | hidden early warning signals in scale free networks |
url | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5734744?pdf=render |
work_keys_str_mv | AT georgjager hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks AT christianhofer hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks AT mariekapeller hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks AT manfredfullsack hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks |