The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.

Evidence from the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. indicated that the virus had vastly different effects across races, with black Americans faring worse on dimensions including illness, hospitalization and death. New data suggests that our understanding of the pandemic's racial...

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Main Authors: Adeline Lo, Héctor Pifarré I Arolas, Jonathan Renshon, Siyu Liang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0274580
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author Adeline Lo
Héctor Pifarré I Arolas
Jonathan Renshon
Siyu Liang
author_facet Adeline Lo
Héctor Pifarré I Arolas
Jonathan Renshon
Siyu Liang
author_sort Adeline Lo
collection DOAJ
description Evidence from the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. indicated that the virus had vastly different effects across races, with black Americans faring worse on dimensions including illness, hospitalization and death. New data suggests that our understanding of the pandemic's racial inequities must be revised given the closing of the gap between black and white COVID-related mortality. Initial explanations for inequality in COVID-related outcomes concentrated on static factors-e.g., geography, urbanicity, segregation or age-structures-that are insufficient on their own to explain observed time-varying patterns in inequality. Drawing from a literature suggesting the relevance of political factors in explaining pandemic outcomes, we highlight the importance of political polarization-the partisan divide in pandemic-related policies and beliefs-that varies over time and across geographic units. Specifically, we investigate the role of polarization through two political factors, public opinion and state-level public health policies, using fine-grained data on disparities in public concern over COVID and in state containment/health policies to understand the changing pattern of inequality in mortality. We show that (1) apparent decreases in inequality are driven by increasing total deaths-mostly among white Americans-rather than decreasing mortality among black Americans (2) containment policies are associated with decreasing inequality, likely resulting from lower relative mortality among Blacks (3) as the partisan disparity in Americans who were "unconcerned" about COVID increased, racial inequality in COVID mortality decreased, generating the appearance of greater equality consistent with a "race to the bottom'' explanation as overall deaths increased and substantively swamping the effects of containment policies.
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spelling doaj.art-dae168bb75364f69b99e5933cff8f35c2022-12-22T03:49:05ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032022-01-01179e027458010.1371/journal.pone.0274580The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.Adeline LoHéctor Pifarré I ArolasJonathan RenshonSiyu LiangEvidence from the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. indicated that the virus had vastly different effects across races, with black Americans faring worse on dimensions including illness, hospitalization and death. New data suggests that our understanding of the pandemic's racial inequities must be revised given the closing of the gap between black and white COVID-related mortality. Initial explanations for inequality in COVID-related outcomes concentrated on static factors-e.g., geography, urbanicity, segregation or age-structures-that are insufficient on their own to explain observed time-varying patterns in inequality. Drawing from a literature suggesting the relevance of political factors in explaining pandemic outcomes, we highlight the importance of political polarization-the partisan divide in pandemic-related policies and beliefs-that varies over time and across geographic units. Specifically, we investigate the role of polarization through two political factors, public opinion and state-level public health policies, using fine-grained data on disparities in public concern over COVID and in state containment/health policies to understand the changing pattern of inequality in mortality. We show that (1) apparent decreases in inequality are driven by increasing total deaths-mostly among white Americans-rather than decreasing mortality among black Americans (2) containment policies are associated with decreasing inequality, likely resulting from lower relative mortality among Blacks (3) as the partisan disparity in Americans who were "unconcerned" about COVID increased, racial inequality in COVID mortality decreased, generating the appearance of greater equality consistent with a "race to the bottom'' explanation as overall deaths increased and substantively swamping the effects of containment policies.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0274580
spellingShingle Adeline Lo
Héctor Pifarré I Arolas
Jonathan Renshon
Siyu Liang
The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.
PLoS ONE
title The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.
title_full The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.
title_fullStr The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.
title_full_unstemmed The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.
title_short The polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in COVID mortality.
title_sort polarization of politics and public opinion and their effects on racial inequality in covid mortality
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0274580
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