A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases

PurposeNumerous scoring systems have been developed in order to determine the prognosis of spinal metastases. Predicting as accurately as possible the life expectancy of patients with spinal metastatic disease is very important, as it's the decisive factor in selecting the optimal treatment for...

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Main Authors: Dionisia Mavritsakis, Louis-Philippe Amiot
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Surgery
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsurg.2024.1349586/full
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author Dionisia Mavritsakis
Louis-Philippe Amiot
author_facet Dionisia Mavritsakis
Louis-Philippe Amiot
author_sort Dionisia Mavritsakis
collection DOAJ
description PurposeNumerous scoring systems have been developed in order to determine the prognosis of spinal metastases. Predicting as accurately as possible the life expectancy of patients with spinal metastatic disease is very important, as it's the decisive factor in selecting the optimal treatment for the patient. The Revised Tokuhashi score (RTS) and the New England Spinal Metastasis score (NESMS) are popular scoring systems used to determine the optimal treatment modality. However, they sometimes provide conflicting results. We propose a novel prognostic scoring system, which combines the RTS and NESMS scores in order to predict with greater accuracy the prognosis.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed the data of 64 patients with spinal metastasis enrolled between 2012 and 2021 in the Department of Orthopedic Surgery-Spine, Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont, Montréal, Que. The new score per patient was calculated as a combination of the RTS of each patient and the patient's corresponding NESMS. The new score was then compared to the actual patient survival period and divided into 3 categories: Low, Moderate and Good prognosis. We then compared the accuracy of our new score to RTS.ResultsIn the Low Prognosis group, the reliability of predicting the prognosis was 51.9% in 27 patients. In the Moderate Prognosis group, the reliability of predicting the prognosis was 95.8% in 24 patients. In the Good Prognosis group, the reliability of predicting the prognosis was 100% in 13 patients. Our new score was found more accurate than RTS as the R2 parameter corresponding to the new score was significantly increased compared to the same parameter corresponding to the RTS score indicating a higher percentage of survival predictability for the new score as compared to the RTS score.ConclusionThis study demonstrates that a new prognostic scoring system, which would combine the RTS and the NESMS, is promising in providing an improved accuracy for predicting the actual patient survival, especially for the moderate and good prognosis patients. An appropriate prospective investigation with a larger sample size should be conducted in order to further investigate the validity of this novel scoring system and its overall predictive value.
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spelling doaj.art-db08fad85e63464b924f49c9ee0a84492024-03-05T14:53:47ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Surgery2296-875X2024-03-011110.3389/fsurg.2024.13495861349586A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastasesDionisia Mavritsakis0Louis-Philippe Amiot1Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, IrelandThe Department of Orthopedic Surgery-Spine, Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont, Montréal, QC, CanadaPurposeNumerous scoring systems have been developed in order to determine the prognosis of spinal metastases. Predicting as accurately as possible the life expectancy of patients with spinal metastatic disease is very important, as it's the decisive factor in selecting the optimal treatment for the patient. The Revised Tokuhashi score (RTS) and the New England Spinal Metastasis score (NESMS) are popular scoring systems used to determine the optimal treatment modality. However, they sometimes provide conflicting results. We propose a novel prognostic scoring system, which combines the RTS and NESMS scores in order to predict with greater accuracy the prognosis.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed the data of 64 patients with spinal metastasis enrolled between 2012 and 2021 in the Department of Orthopedic Surgery-Spine, Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont, Montréal, Que. The new score per patient was calculated as a combination of the RTS of each patient and the patient's corresponding NESMS. The new score was then compared to the actual patient survival period and divided into 3 categories: Low, Moderate and Good prognosis. We then compared the accuracy of our new score to RTS.ResultsIn the Low Prognosis group, the reliability of predicting the prognosis was 51.9% in 27 patients. In the Moderate Prognosis group, the reliability of predicting the prognosis was 95.8% in 24 patients. In the Good Prognosis group, the reliability of predicting the prognosis was 100% in 13 patients. Our new score was found more accurate than RTS as the R2 parameter corresponding to the new score was significantly increased compared to the same parameter corresponding to the RTS score indicating a higher percentage of survival predictability for the new score as compared to the RTS score.ConclusionThis study demonstrates that a new prognostic scoring system, which would combine the RTS and the NESMS, is promising in providing an improved accuracy for predicting the actual patient survival, especially for the moderate and good prognosis patients. An appropriate prospective investigation with a larger sample size should be conducted in order to further investigate the validity of this novel scoring system and its overall predictive value.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsurg.2024.1349586/fullTokuhashispineorthopedic surgeryNESMSscore
spellingShingle Dionisia Mavritsakis
Louis-Philippe Amiot
A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
Frontiers in Surgery
Tokuhashi
spine
orthopedic surgery
NESMS
score
title A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
title_full A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
title_fullStr A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
title_full_unstemmed A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
title_short A novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised Tokuhashi score and the New England spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
title_sort novel prognostic scoring system combining the revised tokuhashi score and the new england spinal metastasis score for preoperative evaluation of spinal metastases
topic Tokuhashi
spine
orthopedic surgery
NESMS
score
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsurg.2024.1349586/full
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