Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market

Futures contracts are exchange-traded financial instruments that enable parties to fix a price in advance, for later performance on a contract. Forward contracts also entail future settlement, but they are traded directly between two parties. Futures and forwards are used in commodities trading, as...

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Main Authors: D’Maris Coffman, Andrew Lockley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2017-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa54e8
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author D’Maris Coffman
Andrew Lockley
author_facet D’Maris Coffman
Andrew Lockley
author_sort D’Maris Coffman
collection DOAJ
description Futures contracts are exchange-traded financial instruments that enable parties to fix a price in advance, for later performance on a contract. Forward contracts also entail future settlement, but they are traded directly between two parties. Futures and forwards are used in commodities trading, as producers seek financial security when planning production. We discuss the potential use of futures contracts in Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) markets; concluding that they have one principal advantage (near-term price security to current polluters), and one principal disadvantage (a combination of high price volatility and high trade volume means contracts issued by the private sector may cause systemic economic risk). Accordingly, we note the potential for the development of futures markets in CDR, but urge caution about the prospects for market failure. In particular, we consider the use of regulated markets: to ensure contracts are more reliable, and that moral hazard is minimised. While regulation offers increased assurances, we identify major insufficiencies with this approach—finding it generally inadequate. In conclusion, we suggest that only governments can realistically support long-term CDR futures markets. We note existing long-term CDR plans by governments, and suggest the use of state-backed futures for supporting these assurances.
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spelling doaj.art-db38c691228c4ad8a0741c5ea309950f2023-08-09T14:30:20ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262017-01-0112101500310.1088/1748-9326/aa54e8Carbon dioxide removal and the futures marketD’Maris Coffman0Andrew Lockley1School of Construction and Project Management , The Bartlett School, University College London, 1-19 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HB, London, United KingdomSchool of Construction and Project Management , The Bartlett School, University College London, 1-19 Torrington Place, WC1E 7HB, London, United KingdomFutures contracts are exchange-traded financial instruments that enable parties to fix a price in advance, for later performance on a contract. Forward contracts also entail future settlement, but they are traded directly between two parties. Futures and forwards are used in commodities trading, as producers seek financial security when planning production. We discuss the potential use of futures contracts in Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) markets; concluding that they have one principal advantage (near-term price security to current polluters), and one principal disadvantage (a combination of high price volatility and high trade volume means contracts issued by the private sector may cause systemic economic risk). Accordingly, we note the potential for the development of futures markets in CDR, but urge caution about the prospects for market failure. In particular, we consider the use of regulated markets: to ensure contracts are more reliable, and that moral hazard is minimised. While regulation offers increased assurances, we identify major insufficiencies with this approach—finding it generally inadequate. In conclusion, we suggest that only governments can realistically support long-term CDR futures markets. We note existing long-term CDR plans by governments, and suggest the use of state-backed futures for supporting these assurances.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa54e8forward contractsfutures marketscarbon dioxide removalnegative emissions technologiesvoluntary carbon offsets
spellingShingle D’Maris Coffman
Andrew Lockley
Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
Environmental Research Letters
forward contracts
futures markets
carbon dioxide removal
negative emissions technologies
voluntary carbon offsets
title Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
title_full Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
title_fullStr Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
title_full_unstemmed Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
title_short Carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
title_sort carbon dioxide removal and the futures market
topic forward contracts
futures markets
carbon dioxide removal
negative emissions technologies
voluntary carbon offsets
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa54e8
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