Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability

The outbreak of SARS-COV-2 disease 2019 (COVID-19) abruptly changed the patterns in electricity consumption, challenging the system operations of forecasting and balancing supply and demand. This is mainly due to the mitigation measures that include lockdown and work from home (WFH), which decreased...

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Main Authors: Desen Kirli, Maximilian Parzen, Aristides Kiprakis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-01-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/3/635
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author Desen Kirli
Maximilian Parzen
Aristides Kiprakis
author_facet Desen Kirli
Maximilian Parzen
Aristides Kiprakis
author_sort Desen Kirli
collection DOAJ
description The outbreak of SARS-COV-2 disease 2019 (COVID-19) abruptly changed the patterns in electricity consumption, challenging the system operations of forecasting and balancing supply and demand. This is mainly due to the mitigation measures that include lockdown and work from home (WFH), which decreased the aggregated demand and remarkably altered its profile. Here, we characterise these changes with various quantitative markers and compare it with pre-lockdown business-as-usual data using Great Britain (GB) as a case study. The ripple effects on the generation portfolio, system frequency, forecasting accuracy and imbalance pricing are also analysed. An energy data extraction and pre-processing pipeline that can be used in a variety of similar studies is also presented. Analysis of the GB demand data during the March 2020 lockdown indicates that a shift to WFH will result in a net benefit for flexible stakeholders, such as consumers on variable tariffs. Furthermore, the analysis illustrates a need for faster and more frequent balancing actions, as a result of the increased share of renewable energy in the generation mix. This new equilibrium of energy demand and supply will require a redesign of the existing balancing mechanisms as well as the longer-term power system planning strategies.
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spelling doaj.art-db6da70073664c4ba31e100449b0af8d2023-12-03T14:51:13ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-01-0114363510.3390/en14030635Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid StabilityDesen Kirli0Maximilian Parzen1Aristides Kiprakis2Institute for Energy Systems, School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, UKInstitute for Energy Systems, School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, UKInstitute for Energy Systems, School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, UKThe outbreak of SARS-COV-2 disease 2019 (COVID-19) abruptly changed the patterns in electricity consumption, challenging the system operations of forecasting and balancing supply and demand. This is mainly due to the mitigation measures that include lockdown and work from home (WFH), which decreased the aggregated demand and remarkably altered its profile. Here, we characterise these changes with various quantitative markers and compare it with pre-lockdown business-as-usual data using Great Britain (GB) as a case study. The ripple effects on the generation portfolio, system frequency, forecasting accuracy and imbalance pricing are also analysed. An energy data extraction and pre-processing pipeline that can be used in a variety of similar studies is also presented. Analysis of the GB demand data during the March 2020 lockdown indicates that a shift to WFH will result in a net benefit for flexible stakeholders, such as consumers on variable tariffs. Furthermore, the analysis illustrates a need for faster and more frequent balancing actions, as a result of the increased share of renewable energy in the generation mix. This new equilibrium of energy demand and supply will require a redesign of the existing balancing mechanisms as well as the longer-term power system planning strategies.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/3/635electricity systemCOVID-19electricity demandenergydemandbehaviour
spellingShingle Desen Kirli
Maximilian Parzen
Aristides Kiprakis
Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability
Energies
electricity system
COVID-19
electricity demand
energy
demand
behaviour
title Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability
title_full Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability
title_fullStr Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability
title_full_unstemmed Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability
title_short Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Electricity System of Great Britain: A Study on Energy Demand, Generation, Pricing and Grid Stability
title_sort impact of the covid 19 lockdown on the electricity system of great britain a study on energy demand generation pricing and grid stability
topic electricity system
COVID-19
electricity demand
energy
demand
behaviour
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/3/635
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AT maximilianparzen impactofthecovid19lockdownontheelectricitysystemofgreatbritainastudyonenergydemandgenerationpricingandgridstability
AT aristideskiprakis impactofthecovid19lockdownontheelectricitysystemofgreatbritainastudyonenergydemandgenerationpricingandgridstability