Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand

The economic crisis of 2008–2009 will be known as the day when the creator knelt before its creation (Syll, 2010). Amid such economic mess created by economists (and so-called engineers) themselves, there seems to be a single economic perspective: every man for himself and save yourself if you can....

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Main Authors: Rodrigo Emmanuel Santana Borges, Everlam Elias Montibeler
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2014-05-01
Series:EconomiA
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758014000058
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author Rodrigo Emmanuel Santana Borges
Everlam Elias Montibeler
author_facet Rodrigo Emmanuel Santana Borges
Everlam Elias Montibeler
author_sort Rodrigo Emmanuel Santana Borges
collection DOAJ
description The economic crisis of 2008–2009 will be known as the day when the creator knelt before its creation (Syll, 2010). Amid such economic mess created by economists (and so-called engineers) themselves, there seems to be a single economic perspective: every man for himself and save yourself if you can. In the midst of this major disruption in the global economy, the Brazilian government decided, in a set of economic measures, to promote a partial and time-limited VAT reduction as its main countercyclical policy. This paper proposes to measure which were the direct and indirect effects of lowering the taxes for a limited time on production, employment generation and income. Additionally, it intends to check whether the reduction on IPI level, a tax that is one of the VATs in Brazil, was indeed the most efficient choice among the other value added taxes in Brazil. In order to accomplish such objectives, a simple final demand model for the GDP is adopted, and the latest national accounts input–output data is taken as a basis to infer the multipliers for the variables chosen and to estimate hypothetical impacts of reduction in other taxes instead of IPI reduction in the specific sector. Currently, the consensus is that the countercyclical economic policy adopted in Brazil had a positive result and fulfilled the expected goals.
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spelling doaj.art-db8e6b6043e14c04a9fb80e2c0c1eee52022-12-22T02:14:39ZengEmerald PublishingEconomiA1517-75802014-05-0115222824110.1016/j.econ.2014.03.004Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demandRodrigo Emmanuel Santana Borges0Everlam Elias Montibeler1PostGraduate Programme, Universidad Complutense de MadridUniversidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, BrazilThe economic crisis of 2008–2009 will be known as the day when the creator knelt before its creation (Syll, 2010). Amid such economic mess created by economists (and so-called engineers) themselves, there seems to be a single economic perspective: every man for himself and save yourself if you can. In the midst of this major disruption in the global economy, the Brazilian government decided, in a set of economic measures, to promote a partial and time-limited VAT reduction as its main countercyclical policy. This paper proposes to measure which were the direct and indirect effects of lowering the taxes for a limited time on production, employment generation and income. Additionally, it intends to check whether the reduction on IPI level, a tax that is one of the VATs in Brazil, was indeed the most efficient choice among the other value added taxes in Brazil. In order to accomplish such objectives, a simple final demand model for the GDP is adopted, and the latest national accounts input–output data is taken as a basis to infer the multipliers for the variables chosen and to estimate hypothetical impacts of reduction in other taxes instead of IPI reduction in the specific sector. Currently, the consensus is that the countercyclical economic policy adopted in Brazil had a positive result and fulfilled the expected goals.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758014000058VATIPIConsumptionEmploymentProductBrazilWorld crisis
spellingShingle Rodrigo Emmanuel Santana Borges
Everlam Elias Montibeler
Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand
EconomiA
VAT
IPI
Consumption
Employment
Product
Brazil
World crisis
title Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand
title_full Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand
title_fullStr Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand
title_full_unstemmed Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand
title_short Input–Output Matrix study: A theoretical frame to study the impact of Brazilian IPI reduction in final demand
title_sort input output matrix study a theoretical frame to study the impact of brazilian ipi reduction in final demand
topic VAT
IPI
Consumption
Employment
Product
Brazil
World crisis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758014000058
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