Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States

The manufacture of the chemical ethylene, a key ingredient in plastics, currently depends on fossil-fuel-derived carbon and generates significant greenhouse gas emissions. Substituting ethylene’s fossil fuel feedstock with alternatives is important for addressing the challenge of global cl...

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Main Author: Gillian Foster
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-05-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/10/1958
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author Gillian Foster
author_facet Gillian Foster
author_sort Gillian Foster
collection DOAJ
description The manufacture of the chemical ethylene, a key ingredient in plastics, currently depends on fossil-fuel-derived carbon and generates significant greenhouse gas emissions. Substituting ethylene’s fossil fuel feedstock with alternatives is important for addressing the challenge of global climate change. This paper compares four scenarios for meeting future ethylene supply under differing societal approaches to climate change based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The four scenarios use four perspectives: (1) a sustainability-focused pathway that demands a swift transition to a bioeconomy within 30 years; (2) a regional energy-focused pathway that supports broad biomass use; (3) a fossil-fuel development pathway limited to corn grain; and (4) a fossil-fuel development pathway limited to corn grain and corn stover. Each scenario is developed using the latest scientifically informed future feedstock analyses from the 2016 Billion-Ton report interpreted with perspectives on the future of biomass from recent literature. The intent of this research is to examine how social, economic, and ecological changes determining ethylene supply fit within biophysical boundaries. This new approach to the ethylene feedstocks conundrum finds that phasing out fossil fuels as the main source of U.S. ethylene is possible if current cellulosic ethanol production expands.
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spelling doaj.art-dc28cb6381b24226aa09f555e3f36c392022-12-22T04:22:34ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732019-05-011210195810.3390/en12101958en12101958Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United StatesGillian Foster0Institute for Ecological Economics, Department of Socioeconomics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, AustriaThe manufacture of the chemical ethylene, a key ingredient in plastics, currently depends on fossil-fuel-derived carbon and generates significant greenhouse gas emissions. Substituting ethylene’s fossil fuel feedstock with alternatives is important for addressing the challenge of global climate change. This paper compares four scenarios for meeting future ethylene supply under differing societal approaches to climate change based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The four scenarios use four perspectives: (1) a sustainability-focused pathway that demands a swift transition to a bioeconomy within 30 years; (2) a regional energy-focused pathway that supports broad biomass use; (3) a fossil-fuel development pathway limited to corn grain; and (4) a fossil-fuel development pathway limited to corn grain and corn stover. Each scenario is developed using the latest scientifically informed future feedstock analyses from the 2016 Billion-Ton report interpreted with perspectives on the future of biomass from recent literature. The intent of this research is to examine how social, economic, and ecological changes determining ethylene supply fit within biophysical boundaries. This new approach to the ethylene feedstocks conundrum finds that phasing out fossil fuels as the main source of U.S. ethylene is possible if current cellulosic ethanol production expands.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/10/1958ethylenebioeconomysustainable biomasssocio-economic scenariosclimate change
spellingShingle Gillian Foster
Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States
Energies
ethylene
bioeconomy
sustainable biomass
socio-economic scenarios
climate change
title Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States
title_full Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States
title_fullStr Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States
title_full_unstemmed Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States
title_short Low-Carbon Futures for Bioethylene in the United States
title_sort low carbon futures for bioethylene in the united states
topic ethylene
bioeconomy
sustainable biomass
socio-economic scenarios
climate change
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/10/1958
work_keys_str_mv AT gillianfoster lowcarbonfuturesforbioethyleneintheunitedstates