Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model

Abstract Since high-quality real data acquired from selected road sections are not always available, a traffic control solution can use data from software traffic simulators working offline. The results show that in contrast to microscopic traffic simulation, the algorithms employing neural networks...

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Main Authors: Andrzej Sroczyński, Andrzej Czyżewski
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-09-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41902-y
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author Andrzej Sroczyński
Andrzej Czyżewski
author_facet Andrzej Sroczyński
Andrzej Czyżewski
author_sort Andrzej Sroczyński
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Since high-quality real data acquired from selected road sections are not always available, a traffic control solution can use data from software traffic simulators working offline. The results show that in contrast to microscopic traffic simulation, the algorithms employing neural networks can work in real-time, so they can be used, among others, to determine the speed displayed on variable message road signs. This paper describes an experiment to develop and test machine learning models, i.e., long short-term memory, gated recurrent unit recurrent networks, and stacked autoencoder networks. It compares their effectiveness with traffic prediction results generated using a widely recognized traffic simulator that analyzes traffic at the level of individual vehicles.
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spelling doaj.art-dc363dc884e34b71ac9ecaaa3834bf842023-11-19T13:00:26ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-09-0113111510.1038/s41598-023-41902-yRoad traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic modelAndrzej Sroczyński0Andrzej Czyżewski1Multimedia Systems Department, Faculty of Electronics, Telecommunication and Informatics, Gdansk University of TechnologyMultimedia Systems Department, Faculty of Electronics, Telecommunication and Informatics, Gdansk University of TechnologyAbstract Since high-quality real data acquired from selected road sections are not always available, a traffic control solution can use data from software traffic simulators working offline. The results show that in contrast to microscopic traffic simulation, the algorithms employing neural networks can work in real-time, so they can be used, among others, to determine the speed displayed on variable message road signs. This paper describes an experiment to develop and test machine learning models, i.e., long short-term memory, gated recurrent unit recurrent networks, and stacked autoencoder networks. It compares their effectiveness with traffic prediction results generated using a widely recognized traffic simulator that analyzes traffic at the level of individual vehicles.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41902-y
spellingShingle Andrzej Sroczyński
Andrzej Czyżewski
Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
Scientific Reports
title Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
title_full Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
title_fullStr Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
title_full_unstemmed Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
title_short Road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
title_sort road traffic can be predicted by machine learning equally effectively as by complex microscopic model
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41902-y
work_keys_str_mv AT andrzejsroczynski roadtrafficcanbepredictedbymachinelearningequallyeffectivelyasbycomplexmicroscopicmodel
AT andrzejczyzewski roadtrafficcanbepredictedbymachinelearningequallyeffectivelyasbycomplexmicroscopicmodel