A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil
ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of mortality in older people living with the human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Methods: This is an ecological study with temporal and spatial approaches to ana...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Associação Brasileira de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva
2023-07-01
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| Series: | Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia |
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| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2023000100434&tlng=en |
| _version_ | 1797767958898933760 |
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| author | Katyucia Oliveira Crispim de Souza Ana Clara Cintra Santana Vinícius do Nascimento Alves Caíque Jordan Nunes Ribeiro Allan Dantas dos Santos Anna Luiza de Fátima Pinho Lins Gryschek |
| author_facet | Katyucia Oliveira Crispim de Souza Ana Clara Cintra Santana Vinícius do Nascimento Alves Caíque Jordan Nunes Ribeiro Allan Dantas dos Santos Anna Luiza de Fátima Pinho Lins Gryschek |
| author_sort | Katyucia Oliveira Crispim de Souza |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of mortality in older people living with the human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Methods: This is an ecological study with temporal and spatial approaches to analyze mortality from HIV/AIDS in the older adult population in the 2010-2020 period in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Analysis of temporal trends was performed using the joinpoint regression, and spatial analysis was carried out using the Moran's index and the local empirical Bayesian model. Results: We identified a total of 3,070 deaths from HIV/AIDS among older adults and a mortality rate of 51.71 per 100 thousand inhabitants during the study period. The joinpoint method showed a growing trend for the age groups from 70 to 79 years (annual percent change [APC]=3.45; p=0.01) and ≥80 years (APC=6.60; p=0.006) and stability for the general older adult population (APC=0.99; p=0.226). The spatial distribution of the crude mortality rate was diffuse throughout the state. After smoothing by the Bayesian estimator, we observed greater concentration in the eastern mesoregions. In Moran's analysis, we observed clusters of lower mortality rates in more central regions; and of higher rates in the southern and northern regions of the state. Conclusions: We found a major growing trend in mortality from HIV/AIDS in the age group of older adults over 69 years during the 2010-2020 period. Clusters of high mortality rates were located in regions further to the south and north of the state, where places of greater social inequalities are concentrated. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T20:47:33Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-dc7e7b3f0e5d4ccd88d859b91f8672ad |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1980-5497 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T20:47:33Z |
| publishDate | 2023-07-01 |
| publisher | Associação Brasileira de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia |
| spelling | doaj.art-dc7e7b3f0e5d4ccd88d859b91f8672ad2023-08-01T07:41:31ZengAssociação Brasileira de Pós-Graduação em Saúde ColetivaRevista Brasileira de Epidemiologia1980-54972023-07-012610.1590/1980-549720230035A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, BrazilKatyucia Oliveira Crispim de Souzahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1645-4459Ana Clara Cintra Santanahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1891-9691Vinícius do Nascimento Alveshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6448-0408Caíque Jordan Nunes Ribeirohttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9767-3938Allan Dantas dos Santoshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6529-1887Anna Luiza de Fátima Pinho Lins Gryschekhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5012-5977ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of mortality in older people living with the human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Methods: This is an ecological study with temporal and spatial approaches to analyze mortality from HIV/AIDS in the older adult population in the 2010-2020 period in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Analysis of temporal trends was performed using the joinpoint regression, and spatial analysis was carried out using the Moran's index and the local empirical Bayesian model. Results: We identified a total of 3,070 deaths from HIV/AIDS among older adults and a mortality rate of 51.71 per 100 thousand inhabitants during the study period. The joinpoint method showed a growing trend for the age groups from 70 to 79 years (annual percent change [APC]=3.45; p=0.01) and ≥80 years (APC=6.60; p=0.006) and stability for the general older adult population (APC=0.99; p=0.226). The spatial distribution of the crude mortality rate was diffuse throughout the state. After smoothing by the Bayesian estimator, we observed greater concentration in the eastern mesoregions. In Moran's analysis, we observed clusters of lower mortality rates in more central regions; and of higher rates in the southern and northern regions of the state. Conclusions: We found a major growing trend in mortality from HIV/AIDS in the age group of older adults over 69 years during the 2010-2020 period. Clusters of high mortality rates were located in regions further to the south and north of the state, where places of greater social inequalities are concentrated.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2023000100434&tlng=enElderlySpace-time analysisHIVAcquired immunodeficiency syndrome |
| spellingShingle | Katyucia Oliveira Crispim de Souza Ana Clara Cintra Santana Vinícius do Nascimento Alves Caíque Jordan Nunes Ribeiro Allan Dantas dos Santos Anna Luiza de Fátima Pinho Lins Gryschek A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia Elderly Space-time analysis HIV Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome |
| title | A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil |
| title_full | A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil |
| title_fullStr | A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil |
| title_full_unstemmed | A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil |
| title_short | A space-time analysis of mortality in older people living with HIV/AIDS in the state of São Paulo, Brazil |
| title_sort | space time analysis of mortality in older people living with hiv aids in the state of sao paulo brazil |
| topic | Elderly Space-time analysis HIV Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome |
| url | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1415-790X2023000100434&tlng=en |
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