Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Abstract Background Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) comprises the majority of kidney cancer death worldwide, whose incidence and mortality are not promising. Identifying ideal biomarkers to construct a more accurate prognostic model than conventional clinical parameters is crucial. Methods R...

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Main Authors: Zedan Zhang, Enyu Lin, Hongkai Zhuang, Lu Xie, Xiaoqiang Feng, Jiumin Liu, Yuming Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-01-01
Series:Cancer Cell International
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12935-020-1113-6
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author Zedan Zhang
Enyu Lin
Hongkai Zhuang
Lu Xie
Xiaoqiang Feng
Jiumin Liu
Yuming Yu
author_facet Zedan Zhang
Enyu Lin
Hongkai Zhuang
Lu Xie
Xiaoqiang Feng
Jiumin Liu
Yuming Yu
author_sort Zedan Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) comprises the majority of kidney cancer death worldwide, whose incidence and mortality are not promising. Identifying ideal biomarkers to construct a more accurate prognostic model than conventional clinical parameters is crucial. Methods Raw count of RNA-sequencing data and clinicopathological data were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Tumor samples were divided into two sets. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened in the whole set and prognosis-related genes were identified from the training set. Their common genes were used in LASSO and best subset regression which were performed to identify the best prognostic 5 genes. The gene-based risk score was developed based on the Cox coefficient of the individual gene. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan–Meier (KM) survival analysis were used to assess its prognostic power. GSE29609 dataset from GEO (Gene Expression Omnibus) database was used to validate the signature. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were performed to screen independent prognostic parameters to construct a nomogram. The predictive power of the nomogram was revealed by time-dependent ROC curves and the calibration plot and verified in the validation set. Finally, Functional enrichment analysis of DEGs and 5 novel genes were performed to suggest the potential biological pathways. Results PADI1, ATP6V0D2, DPP6, C9orf135 and PLG were screened to be significantly related to the prognosis of ccRCC patients. The risk score effectively stratified the patients into high-risk group with poor overall survival (OS) based on survival analysis. AJCC-stage, age, recurrence and risk score were regarded as independent prognostic parameters by Cox regression analysis and were used to construct a nomogram. Time-dependent ROC curves showed the nomogram performed best in 1-, 3- and 5-year survival predictions compared with AJCC-stage and risk score in validation sets. The calibration plot showed good agreement of the nomogram between predicted and observed outcomes. Functional enrichment analysis suggested several enriched biological pathways related to cancer. Conclusions In our study, we constructed a gene-based model integrating clinical prognostic parameters to predict prognosis of ccRCC well, which might provide a reliable prognosis assessment tool for clinician and aid treatment decision-making in the clinic.
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spelling doaj.art-dc8a2ecd76714536ae8b5a64a0d0d9272022-12-21T22:21:23ZengBMCCancer Cell International1475-28672020-01-0120111810.1186/s12935-020-1113-6Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinomaZedan Zhang0Enyu Lin1Hongkai Zhuang2Lu Xie3Xiaoqiang Feng4Jiumin Liu5Yuming Yu6Department of Urology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical SciencesDepartment of Urology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical SciencesDepartment of Urology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical SciencesDepartment of Urology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical SciencesDepartment of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Science, Southern Medical UniversityDepartment of Urology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical SciencesDepartment of Urology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical SciencesAbstract Background Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) comprises the majority of kidney cancer death worldwide, whose incidence and mortality are not promising. Identifying ideal biomarkers to construct a more accurate prognostic model than conventional clinical parameters is crucial. Methods Raw count of RNA-sequencing data and clinicopathological data were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Tumor samples were divided into two sets. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened in the whole set and prognosis-related genes were identified from the training set. Their common genes were used in LASSO and best subset regression which were performed to identify the best prognostic 5 genes. The gene-based risk score was developed based on the Cox coefficient of the individual gene. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan–Meier (KM) survival analysis were used to assess its prognostic power. GSE29609 dataset from GEO (Gene Expression Omnibus) database was used to validate the signature. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were performed to screen independent prognostic parameters to construct a nomogram. The predictive power of the nomogram was revealed by time-dependent ROC curves and the calibration plot and verified in the validation set. Finally, Functional enrichment analysis of DEGs and 5 novel genes were performed to suggest the potential biological pathways. Results PADI1, ATP6V0D2, DPP6, C9orf135 and PLG were screened to be significantly related to the prognosis of ccRCC patients. The risk score effectively stratified the patients into high-risk group with poor overall survival (OS) based on survival analysis. AJCC-stage, age, recurrence and risk score were regarded as independent prognostic parameters by Cox regression analysis and were used to construct a nomogram. Time-dependent ROC curves showed the nomogram performed best in 1-, 3- and 5-year survival predictions compared with AJCC-stage and risk score in validation sets. The calibration plot showed good agreement of the nomogram between predicted and observed outcomes. Functional enrichment analysis suggested several enriched biological pathways related to cancer. Conclusions In our study, we constructed a gene-based model integrating clinical prognostic parameters to predict prognosis of ccRCC well, which might provide a reliable prognosis assessment tool for clinician and aid treatment decision-making in the clinic.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12935-020-1113-6Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC)Differentially expressed genes (DEGs)Overall survival (OS)Risk scoreNomogramTCGA
spellingShingle Zedan Zhang
Enyu Lin
Hongkai Zhuang
Lu Xie
Xiaoqiang Feng
Jiumin Liu
Yuming Yu
Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
Cancer Cell International
Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC)
Differentially expressed genes (DEGs)
Overall survival (OS)
Risk score
Nomogram
TCGA
title Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
title_full Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
title_fullStr Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
title_full_unstemmed Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
title_short Construction of a novel gene-based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
title_sort construction of a novel gene based model for prognosis prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma
topic Clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC)
Differentially expressed genes (DEGs)
Overall survival (OS)
Risk score
Nomogram
TCGA
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12935-020-1113-6
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