A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement

Abstract Factors and processes determining heterogeneous (‘patchy’) population distributions in natural environments have long been a major focus in ecology. Existing theoretical approaches proved to be successful in explaining vegetation patterns. In the case of animal populations, existing theorie...

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Main Authors: Sergei Petrovskii, John Ellis, Emily Forbes, Natalia Petrovskaya, Keith F. A. Walters
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05881-w
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author Sergei Petrovskii
John Ellis
Emily Forbes
Natalia Petrovskaya
Keith F. A. Walters
author_facet Sergei Petrovskii
John Ellis
Emily Forbes
Natalia Petrovskaya
Keith F. A. Walters
author_sort Sergei Petrovskii
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Factors and processes determining heterogeneous (‘patchy’) population distributions in natural environments have long been a major focus in ecology. Existing theoretical approaches proved to be successful in explaining vegetation patterns. In the case of animal populations, existing theories are at most conceptual: they may suggest a qualitative explanation but largely fail to explain patchiness quantitatively. We aim to bridge this knowledge gap. We present a new mechanism of self-organized formation of a patchy spatial population distribution. A factor that was under-appreciated by pattern formation theories is animal sociability, which may result in density dependent movement behaviour. Our approach was inspired by a recent project on movement and distribution of slugs in arable fields. The project discovered a strongly heterogeneous slug distribution and a specific density dependent individual movement. In this paper, we bring these two findings together. We develop a model of density dependent animal movement to account for the switch in the movement behaviour when the local population density exceeds a certain threshold. The model is fully parameterized using the field data. We then show that the model produces spatial patterns with properties closely resembling those observed in the field, in particular to exhibit similar values of the aggregation index.
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spelling doaj.art-dc8ed25031f84743a231b3ecc6273ba42022-12-21T19:33:41ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-02-0112111210.1038/s41598-022-05881-wA predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movementSergei Petrovskii0John Ellis1Emily Forbes2Natalia Petrovskaya3Keith F. A. Walters4School of Computing and Mathematical Sciences, University of LeicesterThe Pirbright InstituteCentre for Integrated Pest Management, Harper Adams UniversitySchool of Mathematics, University of BirminghamCentre for Integrated Pest Management, Harper Adams UniversityAbstract Factors and processes determining heterogeneous (‘patchy’) population distributions in natural environments have long been a major focus in ecology. Existing theoretical approaches proved to be successful in explaining vegetation patterns. In the case of animal populations, existing theories are at most conceptual: they may suggest a qualitative explanation but largely fail to explain patchiness quantitatively. We aim to bridge this knowledge gap. We present a new mechanism of self-organized formation of a patchy spatial population distribution. A factor that was under-appreciated by pattern formation theories is animal sociability, which may result in density dependent movement behaviour. Our approach was inspired by a recent project on movement and distribution of slugs in arable fields. The project discovered a strongly heterogeneous slug distribution and a specific density dependent individual movement. In this paper, we bring these two findings together. We develop a model of density dependent animal movement to account for the switch in the movement behaviour when the local population density exceeds a certain threshold. The model is fully parameterized using the field data. We then show that the model produces spatial patterns with properties closely resembling those observed in the field, in particular to exhibit similar values of the aggregation index.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05881-w
spellingShingle Sergei Petrovskii
John Ellis
Emily Forbes
Natalia Petrovskaya
Keith F. A. Walters
A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
Scientific Reports
title A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
title_full A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
title_fullStr A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
title_full_unstemmed A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
title_short A predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
title_sort predictive model and a field study on heterogeneous slug distribution in arable fields arising from density dependent movement
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05881-w
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