About forecasting
Modernity has outlined the future as a space of freedom. This space is guaranteed by the coexistence of forecast models legitimized by procedures that guarantee internal consistency and are corroborated by observational data. But the coexistence of potentially effective models also requires a compar...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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University of Bologna
2021-03-01
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| Series: | DNA Di Nulla Academia |
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| Online Access: | https://dnacamporesi.unibo.it/article/view/12312 |
| _version_ | 1819043668638564352 |
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| author | Dario Albarello |
| author_facet | Dario Albarello |
| author_sort | Dario Albarello |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Modernity has outlined the future as a space of freedom. This space is guaranteed by the coexistence of forecast models legitimized by procedures that guarantee internal consistency and are corroborated by observational data. But the coexistence of potentially effective models also requires a comparative evaluation that attributes appropriate likelihood values to the alternative scenarios that these models outline. Based on these assessments, the community is called upon to decide which models to adopt through a political practice capable of implementing choices that are aware of the constraints that the scientific paradigm poses and jointly consider the values and desires of that community. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-21T10:00:27Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-dc9257d03c9f41ef907775bd9a828a9f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2724-5179 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-21T10:00:27Z |
| publishDate | 2021-03-01 |
| publisher | University of Bologna |
| record_format | Article |
| series | DNA Di Nulla Academia |
| spelling | doaj.art-dc9257d03c9f41ef907775bd9a828a9f2022-12-21T19:07:58ZengUniversity of BolognaDNA Di Nulla Academia2724-51792021-03-011211610.6092/issn.2724-5179/1231210618About forecastingDario Albarello0Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, della Terra e dell’Ambiente - Università degli Studi di SienaModernity has outlined the future as a space of freedom. This space is guaranteed by the coexistence of forecast models legitimized by procedures that guarantee internal consistency and are corroborated by observational data. But the coexistence of potentially effective models also requires a comparative evaluation that attributes appropriate likelihood values to the alternative scenarios that these models outline. Based on these assessments, the community is called upon to decide which models to adopt through a political practice capable of implementing choices that are aware of the constraints that the scientific paradigm poses and jointly consider the values and desires of that community.https://dnacamporesi.unibo.it/article/view/12312forecastscientific paradigmmodelsdemonstration and argumentation |
| spellingShingle | Dario Albarello About forecasting DNA Di Nulla Academia forecast scientific paradigm models demonstration and argumentation |
| title | About forecasting |
| title_full | About forecasting |
| title_fullStr | About forecasting |
| title_full_unstemmed | About forecasting |
| title_short | About forecasting |
| title_sort | about forecasting |
| topic | forecast scientific paradigm models demonstration and argumentation |
| url | https://dnacamporesi.unibo.it/article/view/12312 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT darioalbarello aboutforecasting |