Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data

To accurate forecast of water evaporation and transpiration (reference evapotranspiration, ET0) is imperative in the planning and management of water resources. The Penman-Monteith FAO56 (PM-56) equation which is recommended for estimating ET0 across the world. However, it requires several climatic...

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Main Authors: Kepeng Feng, Juncang Tian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2020-08-01
Series:European Journal of Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/22797254.2020.1801355
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author Kepeng Feng
Juncang Tian
author_facet Kepeng Feng
Juncang Tian
author_sort Kepeng Feng
collection DOAJ
description To accurate forecast of water evaporation and transpiration (reference evapotranspiration, ET0) is imperative in the planning and management of water resources. The Penman-Monteith FAO56 (PM-56) equation which is recommended for estimating ET0 across the world. However, it requires several climatic variables; the use of the PM-56 equation is restricted by the unavailability of input climatic variables in many locations. In the current study, the potential of k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm (KNN), which is a data mining method for estimating ET0 were investigated using limited climatic data in a semi-arid environment in China. In addition, a KNN based ET0 forecast model were tested against the PM-56 equation. The accuracies of the models were evaluated by using three commonly used criteria: root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and correlation coefficient (r). The results obtained with the KNN-based ET0 forecast model (through normalization, weighted and K = 3) were better than it without any process. The prediction result is consistent with the PM-56 results, and confirmed the ability of these techniques to provide useful tools in ET0 modeling in semi-arid environments. Based on the comparison of the overall performances, it was found that t the KNN-based ET0 forecast model which requires max air temperature, min air temperature and relative humidity, input variables had the best accuracy.
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spelling doaj.art-dcef87d174094755951ec62e641b93562022-12-21T19:28:33ZengTaylor & Francis GroupEuropean Journal of Remote Sensing2279-72542020-08-01001910.1080/22797254.2020.18013551801355Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic dataKepeng Feng0Juncang Tian1Ningxia Research Center of Technology on Water-saving Irrigation and Water Resources RegulationNingxia Research Center of Technology on Water-saving Irrigation and Water Resources RegulationTo accurate forecast of water evaporation and transpiration (reference evapotranspiration, ET0) is imperative in the planning and management of water resources. The Penman-Monteith FAO56 (PM-56) equation which is recommended for estimating ET0 across the world. However, it requires several climatic variables; the use of the PM-56 equation is restricted by the unavailability of input climatic variables in many locations. In the current study, the potential of k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm (KNN), which is a data mining method for estimating ET0 were investigated using limited climatic data in a semi-arid environment in China. In addition, a KNN based ET0 forecast model were tested against the PM-56 equation. The accuracies of the models were evaluated by using three commonly used criteria: root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and correlation coefficient (r). The results obtained with the KNN-based ET0 forecast model (through normalization, weighted and K = 3) were better than it without any process. The prediction result is consistent with the PM-56 results, and confirmed the ability of these techniques to provide useful tools in ET0 modeling in semi-arid environments. Based on the comparison of the overall performances, it was found that t the KNN-based ET0 forecast model which requires max air temperature, min air temperature and relative humidity, input variables had the best accuracy.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/22797254.2020.1801355reference evapotranspirationdata miningk-nearest neighbor algorithmsemi-arid environment
spellingShingle Kepeng Feng
Juncang Tian
Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
European Journal of Remote Sensing
reference evapotranspiration
data mining
k-nearest neighbor algorithm
semi-arid environment
title Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
title_full Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
title_fullStr Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
title_short Forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
title_sort forecasting reference evapotranspiration using data mining and limited climatic data
topic reference evapotranspiration
data mining
k-nearest neighbor algorithm
semi-arid environment
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/22797254.2020.1801355
work_keys_str_mv AT kepengfeng forecastingreferenceevapotranspirationusingdataminingandlimitedclimaticdata
AT juncangtian forecastingreferenceevapotranspirationusingdataminingandlimitedclimaticdata