The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries
Abstract While the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war threatens global nutrition security, the magnitude and extent of its impact remain underexamined. Here we show that, with the lowest level of war duration, severity, sanction, and countries involved, the direct and indirect impacts of the war and sanctio...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Springer
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Discover Sustainability |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8 |
| _version_ | 1828122468040048640 |
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| author | Zhongci Deng Cai Li Zhen Wang Ping Kang Yuanchao Hu Haozhi Pan Gang Liu |
| author_facet | Zhongci Deng Cai Li Zhen Wang Ping Kang Yuanchao Hu Haozhi Pan Gang Liu |
| author_sort | Zhongci Deng |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract While the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war threatens global nutrition security, the magnitude and extent of its impact remain underexamined. Here we show that, with the lowest level of war duration, severity, sanction, and countries involved, the direct and indirect impacts of the war and sanctions could newly place 67.3 million people (roughly equals the total population of France) in undernourishment and 316.7 million people (roughly equals the total population of Bangladesh and Russia) suffering from extreme national food insecurity. Approximately 95% of the affected population are from developing countries, highlighting the vulnerability of food supply in these countries. Both the undernourished population and its inequality across countries will substantially grow, if war duration and severity increase. If the war is prolonged to early 2024, future agricultural growth cannot fully offset the negative impacts, and global hunger will still very likely exacerbate. We conclude that targeted measures should be placed in developing countries and their vulnerable populations to reconstruct a just, healthy, and environmentally sustainable food system. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T14:35:42Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-dd24592e51a64955897e7f487b163699 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2662-9984 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T14:35:42Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discover Sustainability |
| spelling | doaj.art-dd24592e51a64955897e7f487b1636992022-12-22T04:18:20ZengSpringerDiscover Sustainability2662-99842022-11-013111210.1007/s43621-022-00112-8The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countriesZhongci Deng0Cai Li1Zhen Wang2Ping Kang3Yuanchao Hu4Haozhi Pan5Gang Liu6College of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural UniversityCollege of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural UniversityCollege of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural UniversityPlateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Chengdu University of Information TechnologySchool of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan UniversitySchool of International and Public Affairs, China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityDepartment of Green Technology, SDU Life Cycle Engineering, University of Southern DenmarkAbstract While the ongoing Russia–Ukraine war threatens global nutrition security, the magnitude and extent of its impact remain underexamined. Here we show that, with the lowest level of war duration, severity, sanction, and countries involved, the direct and indirect impacts of the war and sanctions could newly place 67.3 million people (roughly equals the total population of France) in undernourishment and 316.7 million people (roughly equals the total population of Bangladesh and Russia) suffering from extreme national food insecurity. Approximately 95% of the affected population are from developing countries, highlighting the vulnerability of food supply in these countries. Both the undernourished population and its inequality across countries will substantially grow, if war duration and severity increase. If the war is prolonged to early 2024, future agricultural growth cannot fully offset the negative impacts, and global hunger will still very likely exacerbate. We conclude that targeted measures should be placed in developing countries and their vulnerable populations to reconstruct a just, healthy, and environmentally sustainable food system.https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8Russia–Ukraine warGlobal nutrition securityUndernourishment |
| spellingShingle | Zhongci Deng Cai Li Zhen Wang Ping Kang Yuanchao Hu Haozhi Pan Gang Liu The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries Discover Sustainability Russia–Ukraine war Global nutrition security Undernourishment |
| title | The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries |
| title_full | The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries |
| title_fullStr | The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries |
| title_short | The Russia–Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries |
| title_sort | russia ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries |
| topic | Russia–Ukraine war Global nutrition security Undernourishment |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-022-00112-8 |
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