A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling

Managed pressure drilling (MPD) is an essential technology for safe and efficient drilling in deep high-temperature and high-pressure formations with narrow safety pressure windows. However, the complex conditions in deep wells make the mechanism of multiphase flow in drilling annulus complicated an...

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Main Authors: Zhaopeng Zhu, Xianzhi Song, Rui Zhang, Gensheng Li, Liang Han, Xiaoli Hu, Dayu Li, Donghan Yang, Furong Qin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-07-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/13/6728
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author Zhaopeng Zhu
Xianzhi Song
Rui Zhang
Gensheng Li
Liang Han
Xiaoli Hu
Dayu Li
Donghan Yang
Furong Qin
author_facet Zhaopeng Zhu
Xianzhi Song
Rui Zhang
Gensheng Li
Liang Han
Xiaoli Hu
Dayu Li
Donghan Yang
Furong Qin
author_sort Zhaopeng Zhu
collection DOAJ
description Managed pressure drilling (MPD) is an essential technology for safe and efficient drilling in deep high-temperature and high-pressure formations with narrow safety pressure windows. However, the complex conditions in deep wells make the mechanism of multiphase flow in drilling annulus complicated and increase the difficulty for accurate prediction of bottomhole pressure (BHP). Recently, an increasing volume of research shows that intelligent technology is an efficient means of accurately predicting BHP. However, few studies have focused on the temporal properties and variation mechanism of BHP. In this paper, hybrid neural network prediction models based on the multi-branch parallel are established by combining the different advantages of back propagation (BP), long short-term memory (LSTM), and a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1DCNN) model. The results show that the relative error of the best model is about 70% lower than the optimal single intelligent model. Preliminary experimental results reveal that the hybrid models combine the advantages of different single models, which is more accurate and robust for extracting the temporal features of MWD. Finally, based on the trend analysis, the validity of the hybrid model is further verified. This study provides a reference for solving the problem of optimizing temporal characteristics and guidance for fine pressure control in complex formations.
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spelling doaj.art-dd3f1234ced64dae8a840dfa46c8dbd12023-11-23T19:41:42ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-07-011213672810.3390/app12136728A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure DrillingZhaopeng Zhu0Xianzhi Song1Rui Zhang2Gensheng Li3Liang Han4Xiaoli Hu5Dayu Li6Donghan Yang7Furong Qin8School of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaSchool of Petroleum Engineering, China University of Petroleum (Beijing), Beijing 102249, ChinaManaged pressure drilling (MPD) is an essential technology for safe and efficient drilling in deep high-temperature and high-pressure formations with narrow safety pressure windows. However, the complex conditions in deep wells make the mechanism of multiphase flow in drilling annulus complicated and increase the difficulty for accurate prediction of bottomhole pressure (BHP). Recently, an increasing volume of research shows that intelligent technology is an efficient means of accurately predicting BHP. However, few studies have focused on the temporal properties and variation mechanism of BHP. In this paper, hybrid neural network prediction models based on the multi-branch parallel are established by combining the different advantages of back propagation (BP), long short-term memory (LSTM), and a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1DCNN) model. The results show that the relative error of the best model is about 70% lower than the optimal single intelligent model. Preliminary experimental results reveal that the hybrid models combine the advantages of different single models, which is more accurate and robust for extracting the temporal features of MWD. Finally, based on the trend analysis, the validity of the hybrid model is further verified. This study provides a reference for solving the problem of optimizing temporal characteristics and guidance for fine pressure control in complex formations.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/13/6728bottomhole pressuretemporal propertieshybrid neural networks
spellingShingle Zhaopeng Zhu
Xianzhi Song
Rui Zhang
Gensheng Li
Liang Han
Xiaoli Hu
Dayu Li
Donghan Yang
Furong Qin
A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling
Applied Sciences
bottomhole pressure
temporal properties
hybrid neural networks
title A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling
title_full A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling
title_fullStr A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling
title_short A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Predicting Bottomhole Pressure in Managed Pressure Drilling
title_sort hybrid neural network model for predicting bottomhole pressure in managed pressure drilling
topic bottomhole pressure
temporal properties
hybrid neural networks
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/13/6728
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