Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model

Abstract Arboviruses, diseases transmitted by arthropods, have become a significant challenge for public health managers. The World Health Organization highlights dengue as responsible for millions of infections worldwide annually. As there is no specific treatment for the disease and no free-of-cha...

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Main Authors: Amália Soares Vieira de Vasconcelos, Josenildo Silva de Lima, Rodrigo Tomás Nogueira Cardoso
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-06-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-36903-w
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author Amália Soares Vieira de Vasconcelos
Josenildo Silva de Lima
Rodrigo Tomás Nogueira Cardoso
author_facet Amália Soares Vieira de Vasconcelos
Josenildo Silva de Lima
Rodrigo Tomás Nogueira Cardoso
author_sort Amália Soares Vieira de Vasconcelos
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Arboviruses, diseases transmitted by arthropods, have become a significant challenge for public health managers. The World Health Organization highlights dengue as responsible for millions of infections worldwide annually. As there is no specific treatment for the disease and no free-of-charge vaccine for mass use in Brazil, the best option is the measures to combat the vector, the Aedes aegypti mosquito. Therefore, we proposed an epidemiological model dependent on temperature, precipitation, and humidity, considering symptomatic and asymptomatic dengue infections. Through computer simulations, we aimed to minimize the amount of insecticides and the social cost demanded to treat patients. We proposed a case study in which our model is fitted with real data from symptomatic dengue-infected humans in an epidemic year in a Brazilian city. Our multiobjective optimization model considers an additional control using larvicide, adulticide, and ultra-low volume spraying. The work’s main contribution is studying the monetary cost of the actions to combat the vector demand versus the hospital cost per confirmed infected, comparing approaches with and without additional control. Results showed that the additional vector control measures are cheaper than the hospital treatment without the vector control would be.
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spelling doaj.art-dd9594a13647483f82a693be36319d812023-06-25T11:14:50ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-06-0113111910.1038/s41598-023-36903-wMultiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological modelAmália Soares Vieira de Vasconcelos0Josenildo Silva de Lima1Rodrigo Tomás Nogueira Cardoso2Postgraduate Program in Mathematical and Computational Modeling (PPGMMC), Federal Center for Technological Education-CEFET-MGPostgraduate Program in Mathematical and Computational Modeling (PPGMMC), Federal Center for Technological Education-CEFET-MGDepartment of Mathematics, Federal Center for Technological Education-CEFET-MGAbstract Arboviruses, diseases transmitted by arthropods, have become a significant challenge for public health managers. The World Health Organization highlights dengue as responsible for millions of infections worldwide annually. As there is no specific treatment for the disease and no free-of-charge vaccine for mass use in Brazil, the best option is the measures to combat the vector, the Aedes aegypti mosquito. Therefore, we proposed an epidemiological model dependent on temperature, precipitation, and humidity, considering symptomatic and asymptomatic dengue infections. Through computer simulations, we aimed to minimize the amount of insecticides and the social cost demanded to treat patients. We proposed a case study in which our model is fitted with real data from symptomatic dengue-infected humans in an epidemic year in a Brazilian city. Our multiobjective optimization model considers an additional control using larvicide, adulticide, and ultra-low volume spraying. The work’s main contribution is studying the monetary cost of the actions to combat the vector demand versus the hospital cost per confirmed infected, comparing approaches with and without additional control. Results showed that the additional vector control measures are cheaper than the hospital treatment without the vector control would be.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-36903-w
spellingShingle Amália Soares Vieira de Vasconcelos
Josenildo Silva de Lima
Rodrigo Tomás Nogueira Cardoso
Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model
Scientific Reports
title Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model
title_full Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model
title_fullStr Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model
title_full_unstemmed Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model
title_short Multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate-dependent epidemiological model
title_sort multiobjective optimization to assess dengue control costs using a climate dependent epidemiological model
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-36903-w
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